Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 28

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Alfheim Stadion (Tromsø)

Referee: Steen K. E. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Finland	Discovery+


	Tromsø		Jerv

	1	X	2
	1.28	6.5	8	Watch
	1.27	6	9
	1.27	6.1	10
	1.26	5.8	8.8
	1.27	6.39	10.35
	1.24	5.25	9.5
	1.26	6.1	9.7
	1.27	5.8	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.2)	5.99 ↓ (6.26)	9.29 ↓ (11.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsø
74.2%

Draw
15.7%

Jerv
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77%

14.8%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsø has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	11.8%	29.4%

Tromsø - Jerv Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Tromsø will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Jerv will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tromsø: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

Tromsø has the most likely position - 6 (45.12%), has project points - 43, has currently - 38, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Jerv has the most likely position - 16 (79.97%), has project points - 20, has currently - 18, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has small quality 20, very small importance 3, small match rating 12. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Tromsø is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jerv is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jerv could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tromsø is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tromsø won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Tromsø won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.10.22	Sarpsborg 08 - Tromsø	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Tromsø - Odd	3:2 ✺
09.10.22	Strømsgodset - Tromsø	1:2 ✺
01.10.22	Tromsø - Molde	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Viking Stavanger - Tromsø	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWLT
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.10.22	Jerv - Viking Stavanger	2:2 ✺
19.10.22	Jerv - Aalesunds	0:1 ✺
16.10.22	Sandefjord - Jerv	1:2 ✺
02.10.22	Hamarkameratene - Jerv	2:1 ✺
18.09.22	Sarpsborg 08 - Jerv	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.06.22	Jerv - Tromsø	1:5
Norwegian Eliteserien
08.05.22	Jerv - Tromsø	1:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.11.20	Tromsø - Jerv	1:0
17.08.20	Jerv - Tromsø	1:0

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