Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 28 December 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	Amazon Prime Video
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Turkey	beIN Sports 4
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Troyes		Nantes

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.65
	2.65	3.45	2.6
	2.65	3.4	2.55
	2.71	3.53	2.7
	2.7	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.64	3.56	2.56	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.36)	3.47 ↓ (3.54)	2.6 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
35.8%

Draw
27.5%

Nantes
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

26.7%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.8%	41.1%	41.1%

Troyes - Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 90 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 16 - 17.8%). Nantes will win (votes: 37 - 41.1%). It will Tie (votes: 37 - 41.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 30.9% – 51.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 15).

Troyes has the most likely position - 17 (9.36%), has project points - 40, has currently - 14, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nantes has the most likely position - 16 (9.76%), has project points - 40, has currently - 13, has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 53, importance 46, match rating 49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1.

Recent matches Nantes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Troyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
Club Friendly
10.12.22	Leicester City - Troyes	0:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
13.11.22	Brest - Troyes	2:1 ✺
04.11.22	Troyes - Auxerre	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Troyes	4:3 ✺
23.10.22	Troyes - Lorient	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTLT
- FC Nantes
Club Friendly
21.12.22	Lorient - Nantes	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
13.11.22	Nantes - Ajaccio	2:2 ✺
06.11.22	Reims - Nantes	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.11.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - Nantes	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
30.10.22	Nantes - Clermont	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
12.03.22	Troyes - Nantes	1:0
03.10.21	Nantes - Troyes	2:0
10.03.18	Nantes - Troyes	1:0
19.08.17	Troyes - Nantes	0:1
30.01.16	Troyes - Nantes	0:1
17.10.15	Nantes - Troyes	3:0
French Ligue 2
02.04.12	Nantes - Troyes	1:1

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