Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 23

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Troyes		Lorient

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	2.9	2.15
	3.62	3.21	2.21
				Watch
	3.5	3	2.2
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.65)	3.04 ↑ (2.94)	2.19 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
26.2%

Draw
30.9%

Lorient
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

31.5%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

30.9%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	40%	50%

Troyes - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Lorient will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Lemaitre N. (G) 14. Boura I. 6. Monfray A. 4. Diaz Jr. M. 17. Mendes H. 42. Kante A. 21. Irie C. 8. Diop M. 10. M'Changama Y. 11. Said R. 12. de Preville N.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 24. Kalulu G. 15. Laporte J. 3. Talbi M. 44. Yongwa D. 6. Abergel L. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 62. Avom A. 10. Pagis P. 21. Ponceau J. 28. Soumano S.
Substitutes
18. Balde T. 1. Boucher Z. (G) 7. Chavalerin X. 32. Detourbet M. 27. Dong K. 9. El Idrissy M. 23. Gozzi P.	2. Igor Silva 77. Katseris P. 22. Kroupi E. J. 1. Leroy B. (G) 17. Makengo J. 5. Mendy F. 27. Tosin A.
Coaches
Dumont S.	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Boura I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Kalulu G. ↓, Igor Silva ↑,
63', de Preville N. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
71', Soumano S. ↓, Kroupi E. J. ↑,
71', Ponceau J. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
71', Pagis P. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Kroupi E. J. ⚽,
75', Diop M. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
82', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
84', Mendes H. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1.

Recent matches Troyes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lorient is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Troyes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lorient will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Troyes: Hamdi M. (Injury) Ripart R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Bamba M. (Injury) Diarra S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Troyes: Tahrat M. (Leg Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Troyes won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:18 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
07.02.25	Martigues - Troyes	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.25	Troyes - Brest	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
01.02.25	Troyes - Caen	3:0 ✺
24.01.25	Laval - Troyes	1:0 ✺
20.01.25	Troyes - Annecy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 2
08.02.25	Lorient - Amiens	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Red Star - Lorient	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Lorient - Clermont	3:2 ✺
18.01.25	Dunkerque - Lorient	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
15.01.25	Cannes - Lorient	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
06.12.24	Lorient - Troyes	2:0
French Ligue 1
12.03.23	Lorient - Troyes	2:0
23.10.22	Troyes - Lorient	2:2
21.05.22	Lorient - Troyes	1:1
01.12.21	Troyes - Lorient	2:0
French Ligue 2
26.10.19	Lorient - Troyes	0:1
19.04.19	Lorient - Troyes	0:3

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