Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 17

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Welling United		Truro City

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	1.88
	3.75	3.5	1.9
	3.86	3.38	1.92
	3.85	3.41	1.95
	3.88	3.45	1.87
	3.75	3.5	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (2.87)	3.42 ↑ (3.36)	1.9 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Welling United
24.5%

Draw
27%

Truro City
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.5%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

26.6%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Welling United's form might have worsened.

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Truro City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Welling United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Truro City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Welling United - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 1 - 0, Walker Z. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Kabia J. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Harrison T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Winfield D. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welling won 2.

Recent matches Welling is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Truro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Truro is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Welling won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:20 (average 2.6:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:9 (average 3.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
05.11.24	Eastbourne Borough - Welling United	4:1 ✺
02.11.24	Welling United - Chippenham Town	0:4 ✺
26.10.24	Dorking Wanderers - Welling United	2:1 ✺
22.10.24	Welling United - Enfield Town	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	St Albans City - Welling United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWW
- Truro City
English National League South
05.11.24	Truro City - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Slough Town - Truro City	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Truro City - Tonbridge Angels	2:1 ✺
22.10.24	Farnborough - Truro City	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Truro City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
27.02.24	Welling United - Truro City	3:2
05.08.23	Truro City - Welling United	5:2
05.01.19	Welling United - Truro City	5:3
18.08.18	Truro City - Welling United	2:2
09.12.17	Welling United - Truro City	2:2
05.08.17	Truro City - Welling United	3:2
14.04.17	Welling United - Truro City	3:2

Upcoming Matches