Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Tudelano		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	3.8
	1.78	3.3	4.05
	1.79	3.65	4.13
	1.77	3.6	4.07	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4
	1.79	3.63	4.25
	2.07	3.23	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.08)	3.42 ↑ (3.23)	3.93 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tudelano
50%

Draw
26.7%

Amorebieta
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tudelano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tudelano's performance.

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amorebieta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tudelano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amorebieta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tudelano - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tudelano won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Tudelano is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tudelano won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tudelano won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Tudelano	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Amorebieta - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 28.61%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tudelano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.03.26	Basconia - Tudelano	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Tudelano - Ebro	2:4 ✺
28.02.26	Beasain - Tudelano	1:5 ✺
21.02.26	Tudelano - Utebo	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Náxara - Tudelano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWTW
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.03.26	Amorebieta - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Alfaro - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Amorebieta - Zaragoza B	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Basconia - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Amorebieta - Ejea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.12.25	Amorebieta - Tudelano	0:0
25.04.21	Tudelano - Amorebieta	1:2
07.04.21	Amorebieta - Tudelano	3:0
25.01.20	Amorebieta - Tudelano	5:1
08.09.19	Tudelano - Amorebieta	0:0
03.02.19	Tudelano - Amorebieta	0:2
15.09.18	Amorebieta - Tudelano	1:1

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