Match Info

First League - Round 25

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Turan Turkistan		Shakhter Karagandy

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.33	2.20
	4.1	4.15	1.58
	2.5	3.35	2.21
	3.68	3.99	1.75	Watch
	3.95	4	1.56
	7.2	4.9	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (1.27)	4.12 ↓ (5.1)	1.77 ↓ (7.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turan Turkistan
23.9%

Draw
22.9%

Shakhter Karagandy
53.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71%

17.7%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turan Turkistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-47.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Turan Turkistan's form might have worsened.

Shakhter Karagandy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+42%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shakhter Karagandy's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Turan Turkistan - Shakhter Karagandy Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Turan will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Shakhter Karagandy will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, Gerasimov M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd and 1st in the Promotion - Premier League).

Shakhter Karagandy is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Turan won 2.

Turan has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Shakhter Karagandy is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Turan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Shakhter Karagandy has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, Shakhter Karagandy enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Turan has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:8 (averaging 0.8:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Turan against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 1:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shakhter Karagandy ✔	25	21	2	2	66:9	57	65
3	Turan	25	17	3	5	53:22	31	54

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Turan Turkistan
Kazakh First League
09.10.26	Jaiyq - Turan Turkistan	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Turan Turkistan - Yelimay 2	4:1 ✺
10.09.26	Aktobe 2 - Turan Turkistan	1:3 ✺
04.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Turan Turkistan	0:3 ✺
21.08.26	Turan Turkistan - Kairat 2	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWWWL
- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh First League
08.10.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Akademiya Ontustik	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Taraz	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Jaiyq - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Khan Tengri	4:0 ✺
21.08.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
10.07.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Turan Turkistan	1:0
Kazakh Premier League
14.09.24	Turan Turkistan - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1
30.03.24	Shakhter Karagandy - Turan Turkistan	0:2
09.10.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Turan Turkistan	0:0
Kazakh Cup
05.08.22	Turan Turkistan - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2
08.07.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Turan Turkistan	4:0
Kazakh Premier League
08.05.22	Turan Turkistan - Shakhter Karagandy	2:0

Turan Turkistan - Shakhter Karagandy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide