Match Info

Date: 28 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Stadion Grbavica (Sarajevo)

Referee: Ghaltakhchyan A. (Arm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	RTL 7


	Tuzla City		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	6	4.2	1.44
	5.75	3.8	1.53
	5.9	4.15	1.48
	6.4	4.3	1.45
	7.35	4.21	1.47
	6.75	4.45	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.36 ↓ (6.45)	4.19 ↓ (4.41)	1.46 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuzla City
14.6%

Draw
22.1%

AZ Alkmaar
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

21%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

19.8%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuzla City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuzla City than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.6%	14.8%	55.6%

Tuzla City - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Tuzla City will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). AZ will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches Tuzla City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AZ is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tuzla City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tuzla City have a series of guest games.

In this match AZ is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tuzla City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Tuzla City
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	AZ Alkmaar - Tuzla City	1:0 ✺
14.07.22	Tuzla City - Tre Penne	6:0 ✺
07.07.22	Tre Penne - Tuzla City	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.06.22	Maribor - Tuzla City	1:1 ✺
22.06.22	Čukarički - Tuzla City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWTT
- AZ Alkmaar
Club Friendly
24.07.22	AZ Alkmaar - Bologna	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	AZ Alkmaar - Tuzla City	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Westerlo - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
09.07.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
06.07.22	AZ Alkmaar - PAOK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	AZ Alkmaar - Tuzla City	1:0

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