The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Twente 91.4%
Draw 6.2%
Excelsior 2.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
90.8%
7%
2.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Twente - Excelsior Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lemey D. (G) 2. van der Vegt I. 5. Knol A. 4. Carleer L. 11. Tuin A. 10. Roord J. 8. van Ginkel D. 6. Groenewegen L. 14. Elberink E. 7. Hulst C. 9. Ravensbergen J.
1. van der Klooster A. (G) 21. Burgers J. 4. Helderman Y. (C) 3. Westerink M. 5. Cherif D. 22. Homan C. 9. Gomez I. 14. Verheijen J. 7. van Spijk V. 8. Hilhorst N. 12. de Raaff J.
Coaches
Dekker C.
Kreugel M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Tuin A. ⚽, Hulst C. (A),
13', Gomez I. 🟨,
20', 2 - 0, Ravensbergen J. ⚽, Groenewegen L. (A),
45+1', 3 - 0, Groenewegen L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', van Ginkel D. ↓, te Brake S. ↑,
46', de Raaff J. ↓, van der Vlist A. ↑,
46', Gomez I. ↓, Martina S. ↑,
62', Elberink E. ↓, Hendriks K. ↑,
64', Homan C. ↓, Haizoun D. ↑,
64', Helderman Y. ↓, De With L. ↑,
70', Hulst C. ↓, Pennock L. ↑,
73', Burgers J. ↓, Vrij N. ↑,
80', Roord J. ↓, Gelevert A. ↑,
80', Tuin A. ↓, Verdaasdonk S. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 4.
Twente is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Excelsior's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Twente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Twente is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 19 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 104:15. (average 5.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 53:8. (average 5.9:0.9).