Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1


	Twente		Fortuna Sittard

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	7	Watch
	1.39	4.9	7.8
	1.41	4.93	7.81
	1.20	5.79	16.54	Watch
	1.47	4.87	6.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.54)	5.05 ↑ (4.58)	9.2 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
70.3%

Draw
19.2%

Fortuna Sittard
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

20.4%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

20.4%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Twente's performance.

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Sittard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Twente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Sittard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	17.2%	3.4%

Twente - Fortuna Sittard Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Twente (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Twente will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Twente will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 38. Bruns M. 3. Propper R. (C) 39. Rots M. 6. Zerrouki R. 14. Hlynsson K. 42. Weidmann D. 11. Rots D. 9. van Wolfswinkel R. 27. Orjasaeter S.	31. Branderhorst M. (G) 18. Limnios D. 4. Adewoye S. 44. Marquez I. (C) 8. Dahlhaus J. 23. Brittijn P. 80. Fosso R. 20. Michut E. 52. Ihattaren M. 7. Peterson K. 9. Sierhuis K.
Substitutes
21. Karssies S. (G) 5. Kuipers B. 26. Nagel B. 43. Nijstad R. 12. Peixoto G. 7. Pjaca M. 22. Tyton P. (G) 37. Unuvar N. 20. van den Belt T. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L. 32. Verschueren A.	11. Aiko M. 46. Gbemou M. 19. Gladon P. 28. Hubner J. 21. Kerkez M. 1. Koopmans L. (G) 17. Lonwijk J. 25. Martens N. (G) 26. Mendes H. 12. Pinto I. 77. Tunjic L.
Coaches
van den Brom J.	Buijs D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Dahlhaus J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, van Wolfswinkel R. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Weidmann D. ↓, van den Belt T. ↑,
54', Peterson K. ↓, Lonwijk J. ↑,
55', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, van Rooij B. ⚽, Rots D. (A),
60', Brittijn P. ↓, Pinto I. ↑,
61', Limnios D. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Lonwijk J. ⚽, Aiko M. (A),
73', Rots M. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
73', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Unuvar N. ↑,
76', Unuvar N. 🟨,
77', Adewoye S. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, van den Belt T. ⚽, van Rooij B. (A),
78', Gladon P. 🟨,
84', Hlynsson K. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Tunjic L. ⚽, Gladon P. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Fortuna Sittard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Twente is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M. (Inactive) Kjolo M. (Knee Injury) Lammers S. (Shoulder Injury) Lemkin S. (Injury)

There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S. (Illness) Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Halilovic A. (Ankle Injury) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury) van Ottele S. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Twente won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
19.09.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Twente	1:5 ✺
13.09.25	Twente - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Excelsior - Twente	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Heerenveen - Twente	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Twente - PSV Eindhoven	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLWL
- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
20.09.25	Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht	1:0 ✺
17.09.25	Feyenoord - Fortuna Sittard	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Telstar - Fortuna Sittard	1:3 ✺
31.08.25	Fortuna Sittard - NEC Nijmegen	3:2 ✺
17.08.25	NAC Breda - Fortuna Sittard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
05.04.25	Twente - Fortuna Sittard	1:1
23.11.24	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	1:2
06.04.24	Twente - Fortuna Sittard	2:0
08.10.23	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	0:3
11.03.23	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	0:3
14.08.22	Twente - Fortuna Sittard	3:0
07.05.22	Twente - Fortuna Sittard	1:2

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