Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 20

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Técnico Universitario		SD Aucas

	1	X	2
	3.50	2.85	2.20	Watch
	3.10	2.90	2.15
	3.15	3.15	2.25	Watch
	3.67	3.00	2.33
	3.39	2.9	2.36	Watch
	3.60	2.90	2.25
	3.52	2.92	2.26	Watch
	3.30	2.90	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.15)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)	2.25 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Técnico Universitario
27.3%

Draw
31.6%

SD Aucas
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28.8%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Aucas will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Morales A. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 53. Chilla R. 5. Mena S. 16. Caicedo J. 85. Arce Y. 25. Delgado B. 33. Majao J. 70. Castano M. 7. Estupinan L. (C) 10. Johan Bocanegra	13. Piedra H. (C) 37. Zova A. 16. Gustavino L. 63. Garcia A. 2. Morales S. 6. Spina A. L. 21. Guzman P. 14. Tapiero S. 18. Mena A. 10. Preciado E. 29. Arroyo L.
Substitutes
30. Arce K. 11. Arteaga C. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 19. Castillo A. 15. Castillo F. 8. Chaves M. 4. Cordova 77. Garcia C. 1. Razzeto S. (G)	11. Bolanos R. 31. Carabali B. 1. Chaves I. (G) 20. Espinosa D. S. 33. Porozo S. 5. Serpa T. 57. Vera M.
Coaches
Redin B.	Araujo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Estupinan L. 🟨,
26', Delgado B. 🟨,
35', Spina A. L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guzman P. ↓, Porozo S. ↑,
53', Mesa Mercado E. E. 🟨,
59', Spina A. L. 🟨,
64', Arroyo L. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
67', Arce Y. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
67', Estupinan L. ↓, Arteaga C. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Preciado E. ⚽, Porozo S. (A),
74', Preciado E. ↓, Carabali B. ↑,
78', Majao J. ↓, Chaves M. ↑,
81', Mena A. ↓, Espinosa D. S. ↑,
81', Castano M. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
81', Mesa Mercado E. E. ↓, Castillo F. ↑,
86', Chaves M. 🟨,
90', Castillo F. 🟨,
90+3', Morales S. 🟨,
90+9', Piedra H. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2.

In recent matches, Técnico Univ has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aucas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Técnico Univ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aucas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Aucas	31	14	8	9	34:30	4	50

Last Results with these Odds

SD Aucas - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.91%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.07.26	Libertad Loja - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
10.07.26	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
06.07.26	Orense - Técnico Universitario	1:2 ✺
01.06.26	Técnico Universitario - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
29.05.26	Juventud Italiana - Técnico Universitario	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLWWL
- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.07.26	SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle	0:3 ✺
12.07.26	Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
07.07.26	SD Aucas - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Mushuc Runa - SD Aucas	0:0 ✺
25.05.26	SD Aucas - Manta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.03.26	SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario	0:1
Club Friendly
08.02.26	SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario	1:0
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.06.25	Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas	1:1
15.02.25	SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario	4:1
12.08.24	Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas	2:0
10.03.24	SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario	3:1
17.09.23	SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario	2:4

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