Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 21

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito)

Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Independiente del Valle		Técnico Universitario

	1	X	2
	1.17	5.75	15.00	Watch
	1.18	6.00	11.00
	1.21	5.75	12.00	Watch
	1.20	6.83	13.35
	1.21	6.41	12.19	Watch
	1.18	6.75	12.00
	1.17	6.84	14.90	Watch
	1.18	6.00	12.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.29)	6.29 ↑ (5)	12.81 ↑ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
78%

Draw
14.7%

Técnico Universitario
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

18.5%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente del Valle's performance.

Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Independiente del Valle - Técnico Universitario Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Ind del Valle (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 14. Carabajal M. 5. Schunke R. 19. Loor L. 6. Alcivar J. 17. Rodriguez A. 16. Briones R. 10. Sornoza J. (C) 31. Pata E. 99. Reasco D.	1. Razzeto S. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 13. Anaya J. (C) 5. Mena S. 15. Castillo F. 85. Arce Y. 25. Delgado B. 70. Castano M. 33. Majao J. 53. Chilla R. 10. Johan Bocanegra
Substitutes
50. Angulo J. 15. Cortez G. 4. Espinoza J. 55. Guagua D. 32. Mendez J. 70. Peralta M. (G) 11. Perello M. 28. Quintana H. 56. Quintero E. 52. Vasquez Y. 33. Velasco A. 23. Viacava J.	30. Arce K. 11. Arteaga C. 16. Caicedo J. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 19. Castillo A. 4. Cordova 7. Estupinan L. 77. Garcia C. 12. Morales A. (G)
Coaches
Papa J.	Redin B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Mena S. 🟨,
27', Razzeto S. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Sornoza J. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Castano M. 🟨,
60', Delgado B. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
60', Majao J. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
63', Johan Bocanegra 🟨,
66', Pata E. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
66', Reasco D. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
66', Briones R. ↓, Perello M. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Romero Padilla D. A. ⚽, Quintana H. (A),
74', Arce Y. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
74', Mena S. ↓, Cordova ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Perello M. ⚽,
80', Rodriguez A. ↓, Quintero E. ↑,
82', Sornoza J. ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
86', Castano M. ↓, Carrasco Bonilla M. A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 4.

Ind del Valle is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Técnico Univ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Técnico Univ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ind del Valle is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:15. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.4:0.5).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	40	74

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente del Valle - the odds 1.29 are the expected chance of winning is 71.75%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Emelec	6:1 ✺
16.07.26	SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle	0:3 ✺
11.07.26	Mushuc Runa - Independiente del Valle	1:4 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
08.07.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Manta	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW
- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.07.26	Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
15.07.26	Libertad Loja - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
10.07.26	Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
06.07.26	Orense - Técnico Universitario	1:2 ✺
01.06.26	Técnico Universitario - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.03.26	Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle	1:2
30.08.25	Independiente del Valle - Técnico Universitario	4:0
11.05.25	Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle	1:2
25.08.24	Independiente del Valle - Técnico Universitario	1:0
21.03.24	Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle	1:1
23.09.23	Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle	2:2
22.04.23	Independiente del Valle - Técnico Universitario	1:0

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