Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 2 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Brazil	ESPN 4


	UD Logroñés		Valencia

	1	X	2
	9	5.75	1.29
	12	6.75	1.23	Watch
	11	6	1.22	Watch
	10.3	6.38	1.21
	12	6.5	1.14	Watch
	12.25	6.8	1.2	Watch
	9.2	5.8	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.82 ↑ (8.29)	6.28 ↑ (5.11)	1.22 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés
8.6%

Draw
14.9%

Valencia
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

18.1%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

13.9%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valencia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Logroñés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

UD Logroñés - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: Valencia will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Daza A. (G) 21. Almandoz B. 4. Cristian Fernandez Linde T. 3. Murillo J. 16. Saenz I. 22. Capdevila A. 15. Cobo Pena J. 5. Sarriegui I. 17. Garcia U. 18. Vitoria A. 14. Seguin A.	1. Domenech J. (C) 20. Foulquier D. 3. Mosquera C. 34. Gasiorowski Y. 29. Tarrega C. 27. Gozalbez P. 6. Guillamon H. 19. Amallah S. 7. Canos S. 17. Yaremchuk R. 30. Gonzalez H.
Substitutes
6. Andoni Ugarte 10. Arias A. 20. Codina M. 24. Facchin E. 7. Goti A. 2. Iribarren Y. 9. Jony 11. Madrazo J. 1. Royo K. (G) 8. Urcelay 19. Yurrebaso L.	39. Camus M. 12. Correia T. 14. Gaya J. 8. Guerra J. 31. Iranzo R. 16. Lopez D. 26. Navarro J. 23. Perez F. 38. Perez J. 13. Rivero C. (G)

Preview

Logroñés is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Valencia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valencia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Valencia is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.10.23	UD Logroñés - Arenas Club de Getxo	5:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.10.23	UD Logroñés - Badalona Futur	2:3 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.10.23	San Juan - UD Logroñés	0:4 ✺
15.10.23	UD Logroñés - Mutilvera	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
11.10.23	LEntregu - UD Logroñés	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
29.10.23	Athletic Bilbao - Valencia	2:2 ✺
23.10.23	Valencia - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Mallorca - Valencia	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Betis - Valencia	3:0 ✺
27.09.23	Valencia - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
22.01.20	UD Logroñés - Valencia	0:1

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