Match Info

LaLiga - Round 35

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Athletic Bilbao		Valencia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.77	3.7	4.5
	1.75	3.7	4.95	Watch
	1.73	3.8	5.2
	1.7	3.77	5.12	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.8
	1.75	3.91	5.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.84)	3.73 ↑ (3.57)	5.02 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao
55.3%

Draw
25.7%

Valencia
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.6%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

27.9%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	30%	3.3%

Athletic Bilbao - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Valencia will win (votes: 1 - 3.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simon U. (G) 2. Gorosabel A. 5. Alvarez Y. (C) 14. Laporte A. 17. Berchiche Y. 18. Jauregizar M. 30. Rego A. 23. Navarro R. 8. Sancet O. 10. Williams N. 11. Guruzeta G.	1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 20. Renzo Saravia 5. Tarrega C. 24. Comert E. 14. Gaya J. (C) 16. Lopez D. 18. Pepelu 2. Rodriguez G. 11. Rioja L. 8. Guerra J. 9. Duro H.
Substitutes
12. Areso J. 7. Berenguer A. 19. Boiro A. 20. Gomez U. 25. Izeta 15. Lekue I. 27. Padilla A. (G) 4. Paredes A. 22. Serrano N. 6. Vesga M. 3. Vivian D. 9. Williams I.	25. Agirrezabala J. (G) 10. Almeida A. 7. Danjuma A. 4. Nunez U. 19. Raba D. 17. Ramazani L. 13. Rivero C. (G) 26. Rubo 6. Sadiq U. 22. Santamaria B. 23. Ugrinic F. 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Valverde E.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Laporte A. 🟨,
27', Duro H. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Williams N. ↓, Williams I. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Laporte A. ↓, Vivian D. ↑,
50', Comert E. 🟨,
55', Rego A. 🟨,
59', Pepelu 🟨,
65', Sancet O. ↓, Berenguer A. ↑,
70', Lopez D. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
70', Duro H. ↓, Sadiq U. ↑,
70', Pepelu ↓, Ugrinic F. ↑,
71', Navarro R. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
71', Rego A. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Sadiq U. ⚽, Rioja L. (A),
83', Guerra J. ↓, Nunez U. ↑,
88', Sadiq U. 🟨,
90+6', Renzo Saravia ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3.

Recent performances by Athletic have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Valencia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Athletic is the team to beat.

There will not play in Athletic: Egiluz U. (Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Coach's decision)

There will not play in Valencia: Beltran L. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury) Rendall T. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 0.8:0.7).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Ath Bilbao: 0.47% Valencia: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
02.05.26	Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao	2:4 ✺
25.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	3:2 ✺
21.04.26	Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Getafe - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLL
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
02.05.26	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Valencia - Girona	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Mallorca - Valencia	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Elche - Valencia	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.26	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	1:2
Spanish LaLiga
20.09.25	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	2:0
18.05.25	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	0:1
28.08.24	Athletic Bilbao - Valencia	1:0
20.01.24	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	1:0
29.10.23	Athletic Bilbao - Valencia	2:2
11.02.23	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	1:2

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