Match Info

LaLiga - Round 33

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca)

Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 3, ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Orange Sport, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online


	Mallorca		Valencia

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.72	3.05	2.82	Watch
	2.78	3.2	2.87
	2.59	3.13	2.92	Watch
	2.6	3	2.8
	2.8	3.19	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.39)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)	2.84 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mallorca
35.7%

Draw
30.6%

Valencia
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.9%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.5%	50%	9.5%

Mallorca - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 17 - 40.5%). Valencia will win (votes: 4 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.9% – 65.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Mallorca (1.85) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Mallorca (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Mallorca (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Valencia (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roman L. (G) 23. Maffeo P. 24. Valjent M. (C) 5. Mascarell O. 22. Mojica J. 12. Samu Costa 10. Darder S. 8. Morlanes M. 20. Torre P. 7. Muriqi V. 11. Asano T.	1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 12. Rendall T. 5. Tarrega C. 18. Pepelu 14. Gaya J. (C) 16. Lopez D. 23. Ugrinic F. 2. Rodriguez G. 17. Ramazani L. 15. Beltran L. 6. Sadiq U.
Substitutes
39. Garcia J. 30. Kalumba J. 4. Kumbulla M. 3. Lato T. 19. Llabres J. 27. Lopez D. 2. Morey Bauza M. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A. 28. Riba C. 6. Sanchez A. 17. Virgili J.	10. Almeida A. 7. Danjuma A. 9. Duro H. 40. Fontanet J. 8. Guerra J. 29. Nunez L. 19. Raba D. 20. Renzo Saravia 11. Rioja L. 13. Rivero C. (G) 26. Rubo 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Demichelis M.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Rendall T. ↓, Renzo Saravia ↑,
41', Dimitrievski S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Samu Costa ⚽, Darder S. (A),
52', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
56', Asano T. ↓, Virgili J. ↑,
60', Beltran L. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
60', Ugrinic F. ↓, Rioja L. ↑,
60', Lopez D. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Sadiq U. ⚽, Guerra J. (A),
76', Mascarell O. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
76', Morlanes M. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
85', Torre P. ↓, Llabres J. ↑,
90+5', Ramazani L. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 1.

Mallorca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valencia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Mallorca: Bergstrom L. (Injury) Joseph M. (Knee Injury) Luvumbo Z. (Injury) Raillo A. (Injury) Salas J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Valencia: Comert E. (Abdominal strain) Duro H. (Muscle Injury) Nunez U. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Valencia: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Mallorca - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.8%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Valencia - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 30.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
12.04.26	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Mallorca - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Elche - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Mallorca - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Osasuna - Mallorca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWLWT
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
11.04.26	Elche - Valencia	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Sevilla - Valencia	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Real Oviedo - Valencia	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Valencia - Deportivo Alavés	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
19.12.25	Valencia - Mallorca	1:1
30.03.25	Valencia - Mallorca	1:0
29.11.24	Mallorca - Valencia	2:1
30.03.24	Valencia - Mallorca	0:0
07.10.23	Mallorca - Valencia	1:1
25.05.23	Mallorca - Valencia	1:0
22.10.22	Valencia - Mallorca	1:2

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