Match Info

LaLiga - Round 33

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 3, ZAP
Angola	18:00	Z Sports 1
Argentina	14:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	19:00	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bangladesh	23:00	Begin
Bolivia	13:00	Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	14:00	Disney+
Canada	13:00	TSN+
Chile	13:00	DirecTV Sports
China	01:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Czech Republic	19:00	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	19:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	12:00	DirecTV Sports
Finland	20:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	19:00	beIN Connect
Germany	19:00	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	20:00	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	01:00	M Plus Live, Now Player
India	22:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	00:00	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	19:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kosovo	19:00	Arena Premium 3
Laos	00:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	11:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	19:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	12:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	19:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	18:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	20:00	Digi Sport 3, Orange Sport, Prima Sport 3
Russia	20:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	19:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	01:00	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	19:00	Nova Sport 3
Slovenia	19:00	Arena Sport 4
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	19:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	19:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	19:00	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Thailand	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	20:00	S Sport+
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	18:00	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	14:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	13:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	13:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	00:00	SCTV Online


	Mallorca		Valencia

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.72	3.05	2.82	Watch
	2.78	3.2	2.87
	2.59	3.13	2.92	Watch
	2.6	3	2.8
	2.8	3.19	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.39)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)	2.84 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mallorca
35.7%

Draw
30.6%

Valencia
33.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.5%	50%	9.5%

Mallorca - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 17 - 40.5%). Valencia will win (votes: 4 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.9% – 65.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Mallorca (1.85) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Mallorca (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Mallorca (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Valencia (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roman L. (G) 23. Maffeo P. 24. Valjent M. (C) 5. Mascarell O. 22. Mojica J. 12. Samu Costa 10. Darder S. 8. Morlanes M. 20. Torre P. 7. Muriqi V. 11. Asano T.	1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 12. Rendall T. 5. Tarrega C. 18. Pepelu 14. Gaya J. (C) 16. Lopez D. 23. Ugrinic F. 2. Rodriguez G. 17. Ramazani L. 15. Beltran L. 6. Sadiq U.
Substitutes
39. Garcia J. 30. Kalumba J. 4. Kumbulla M. 3. Lato T. 19. Llabres J. 27. Lopez D. 2. Morey Bauza M. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A. 28. Riba C. 6. Sanchez A. 17. Virgili J.	10. Almeida A. 7. Danjuma A. 9. Duro H. 40. Fontanet J. 8. Guerra J. 29. Nunez L. 19. Raba D. 20. Renzo Saravia 11. Rioja L. 13. Rivero C. (G) 26. Rubo 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Demichelis M.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Rendall T. ↓, Renzo Saravia ↑,
41', Dimitrievski S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Samu Costa ⚽, Darder S. (A),
52', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
56', Asano T. ↓, Virgili J. ↑,
60', Beltran L. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
60', Ugrinic F. ↓, Rioja L. ↑,
60', Lopez D. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Sadiq U. ⚽, Guerra J. (A),
76', Mascarell O. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
76', Morlanes M. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
85', Torre P. ↓, Llabres J. ↑,
90+5', Ramazani L. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 1.

Mallorca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valencia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Mallorca: Bergstrom L. (Injury) Joseph M. (Knee Injury) Luvumbo Z. (Injury) Raillo A. (Injury) Salas J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Valencia: Comert E. (Abdominal strain) Duro H. (Muscle Injury) Nunez U. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Valencia	10	1	3	6	7:17	-10	6

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Valencia: 0.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Mallorca - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.8%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Valencia - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 30.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
12.04.26	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Mallorca - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Elche - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Mallorca - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Osasuna - Mallorca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWLWT
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
11.04.26	Elche - Valencia	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Sevilla - Valencia	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Real Oviedo - Valencia	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Valencia - Deportivo Alavés	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
19.12.25	Valencia - Mallorca	1:1
30.03.25	Valencia - Mallorca	1:0
29.11.24	Mallorca - Valencia	2:1
30.03.24	Valencia - Mallorca	0:0
07.10.23	Mallorca - Valencia	1:1
25.05.23	Mallorca - Valencia	1:0
22.10.22	Valencia - Mallorca	1:2

Upcoming Matches