Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Champions Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+
Puerto-rico	Fox Sports 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com, Tubi TV, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	UNAM		Alajuelense

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	8	Watch
	1.43	4.2	7.75
	1.41	3.9	6.8
	1.44	4.34	7.9
	1.44	4.16	7.83	Watch
	1.4	4	8
	1.45	4.49	8.46	Watch
	1.41	3.9	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)	4.17 ↓ (4.2)	7.69 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNAM
65.4%

Draw
22.4%

Alajuelense
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

21.9%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

22.8%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

UNAM - Alajuelense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Alajuelense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Padilla A. (G) 13. Monroy P. 2. Bennevendo P. (C) 51. Azuaje A. 22. Ergas R. 17. Ruvalcaba J. 8. Caicedo J. 28. Carrasquilla A. 27. Quispe Cordova P. A. 23. Pussetto I. 29. Funes Mori R.	23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 2. Martinez C. 4. Villalobos Alfaro G. 13. Gamboa A. 16. Oviedo B. 25. van der Putten S. 5. Borges C. (C) 8. Angulo L. 33. Lucumi J. 19. Toril A. 97. Anderson Canhoto
Substitutes
19. Avila A. 50. Flores J. 3. Galindo J. 35. Lara P. (G) 45. Lopez S. 9. Martinez G. 42. Rico A. 15. Rivas U. 20. Trigos S. 44. Venegas S.	14. Bran Flores A. J. 12. Campbell J. 11. Campos D. 17. Chacon D. 22. Matarrita R. 1. Mora B. (G) 9. Moya J. 35. Parkins R. 34. Perez C. 26. Pinar F. 24. Salazar A. 10. Suarez A.
Coaches
Juarez E.	Guimaraes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Bennevendo P. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Ergas R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
60', Toril A. ↓, Suarez A. ↑,
62', Villalobos Alfaro G. ↓, Bran Flores A. J. ↑,
68', Martinez C. ↓, Pinar F. ↑,
72', Oviedo B. 🟨,
73', 2 - 0, Funes Mori R. ⚽, Carrasquilla A. (A),
79', Angulo L. ↓, Campos D. ↑,
79', Lucumi J. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
82', Pussetto I. ↓, Avila A. ↑,
83', Funes Mori R. ↓, Rivas U. ↑,
88', Quispe Cordova P. A. ↓, Rico A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

UNAM is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alajuelense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alajuelense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match UNAM is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAM Pumas
Mexican Liga MX
01.03.25	UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara	0:1 ✺
25.02.25	Tijuana - UNAM	4:2 ✺
22.02.25	UNAM - Club América	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Pachuca - UNAM	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
13.02.25	UNAM - Cavalry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
28.02.25	Alajuelense - Puntarenas FC	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Santos de Guápiles - Alajuelense	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Alajuelense - Guanacasteca	1:0 ✺
12.02.25	Sporting San José - Alajuelense	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTWWT

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