Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Asia	—	Q Football Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	23:00	beIN Connect
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	19:00	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Cambodia	20:00	MyTV
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Chile	10:00	Disney+
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	15:00	DAZN, TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
India	18:30	ZEE5
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Iraq	16:00	Almanasa
Italy	15:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 2
Kuwait	16:00	Shasha
Macao	21:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	07:00	Disney+
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	01:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	16:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 9
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 3
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Suriname	10:00	SCCN
Sweden	15:00	DAZN, TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:00	True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	14:00	Diwan Sport
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	Paramount+, Peacock
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+


	Udinese		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.25
	2.20	3.30	3.25
	2.22	3.2	3.35	Watch
	2.31	3.3	3.54
	2.26	3.29	3.33	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3.45
	2.32	3.34	3.52
	2.19	3.35	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.06)	3.28 ↑ (3.23)	3.37 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
42.5%

Draw
29.2%

Cagliari
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.2%

29.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

29.2%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Udinese - Cagliari Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Cagliari will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Okoye M. (G) 14. Abankwah J. 27. Kabasele C. 77. Ebosse E. 23. Vojvoda M. 38. Miller L. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 11. Kamara H. 10. Zaniolo N. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 9. Davis K.	1. Caprile E. (G) 2. Pedro J. 26. Mina Y. 15. Rodriguez J. 33. Obert A. 8. Adopo M. 4. Romano A. 6. Winks H. 14. Deiola A. (C) 70. Maldini D. 31. Mendy P.
Substitutes
15. Bayo V. 13. Bertola N. 30. Chakvetadze G. 46. Gomez U. 7. Gueye I. 4. Lovric S. 41. Mrozek B. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 59. Zanoli A. 6. Zarraga O.	24. Aurelio G. 20. Ciervo R. 39. Fadera A. 10. Fazzini J. 21. Gagliardini R. 9. Kevin 22. Kofler R. 27. Liteta J. 79. Massolin Y. 23. Radunovic B. (G) 12. Sherri A. (G) 35. Sugamele A. 28. Sugawara Y. 32. Sulev I.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Pisacane F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
22', Karlstrom J. 🟨,
37', Davis K. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zaniolo N. ↓, Chakvetadze G. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Maldini D. ⚽,
57', Miller L. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
59', Rodriguez J. ↓, Sugawara Y. ↑,
59', Maldini D. ↓, Kevin ↑,
71', Kamara H. ↓, Zanoli A. ↑,
71', Kabasele C. ↓, Bayo V. ↑,
85', Romano A. ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
85', Mendy P. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Udinese holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Udinese: Arizala J. (Thigh Injury) Piotrowski J. (Heart Problems) Solet O. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Cagliari: Felici M. (Knee Injury) Idrissi R. (Knee Injury) Nzola M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Trepy Y. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Udinese: Palma M. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Cagliari: Pedro J. (Arm Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Udinese has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:20 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Udinese against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 16:9 goals (averaging 1.6:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cagliari	9	4	1	4	8:13	-5	13
17	Udinese	9	1	2	6	9:18	-9	5

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Cagliari: 0.2% Udinese: 0.17%

Last Results with these Odds

Cagliari - the odds 3.89 are the expected chance of winning is 24.42%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
14.09.26	Inter Milan - Udinese	5:3 ✺
07.09.26	Udinese - Lazio	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.09.26	Udinese - Venezia	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Monza - Udinese	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Udinese - Como	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWT
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
12.09.26	Atalanta - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Cagliari - Lecce	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.09.26	Cagliari - Verona	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.08.26	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Parma - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.05.26	Cagliari - Udinese	0:2
05.10.25	Udinese - Cagliari	1:1
03.05.25	Cagliari - Udinese	1:2
25.10.24	Udinese - Cagliari	2:0
18.02.24	Udinese - Cagliari	1:1
Coppa Italia
01.11.23	Udinese - Cagliari	1:2 ET
Italian Serie A
17.09.23	Cagliari - Udinese	0:0

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