Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine)

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	Q Football Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play
Finland	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
India	ZEE5
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 9
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+


	Udinese		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.25
	2.20	3.30	3.25
	2.22	3.2	3.35	Watch
	2.31	3.3	3.54
	2.26	3.29	3.33	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3.45
	2.32	3.34	3.52
	2.19	3.35	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.06)	3.28 ↑ (3.23)	3.37 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
42.5%

Draw
29.2%

Cagliari
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

29.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

29.1%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Udinese - Cagliari Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Cagliari will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Okoye M. (G) 14. Abankwah J. 27. Kabasele C. 77. Ebosse E. 23. Vojvoda M. 38. Miller L. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 11. Kamara H. 10. Zaniolo N. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 9. Davis K.	1. Caprile E. (G) 2. Pedro J. 26. Mina Y. 15. Rodriguez J. 33. Obert A. 8. Adopo M. 4. Romano A. 6. Winks H. 14. Deiola A. (C) 70. Maldini D. 31. Mendy P.
Substitutes
15. Bayo V. 13. Bertola N. 30. Chakvetadze G. 46. Gomez U. 7. Gueye I. 4. Lovric S. 41. Mrozek B. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 59. Zanoli A. 6. Zarraga O.	24. Aurelio G. 20. Ciervo R. 39. Fadera A. 10. Fazzini J. 21. Gagliardini R. 9. Kevin 22. Kofler R. 27. Liteta J. 79. Massolin Y. 23. Radunovic B. (G) 12. Sherri A. (G) 35. Sugamele A. 28. Sugawara Y. 32. Sulev I.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Pisacane F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
22', Karlstrom J. 🟨,
37', Davis K. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zaniolo N. ↓, Chakvetadze G. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Maldini D. ⚽,
57', Miller L. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
59', Rodriguez J. ↓, Sugawara Y. ↑,
59', Maldini D. ↓, Kevin ↑,
71', Kamara H. ↓, Zanoli A. ↑,
71', Kabasele C. ↓, Bayo V. ↑,
85', Romano A. ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
85', Mendy P. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Udinese holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Udinese: Arizala J. (Thigh Injury) Piotrowski J. (Heart Problems) Solet O. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Cagliari: Felici M. (Knee Injury) Idrissi R. (Knee Injury) Nzola M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Trepy Y. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Udinese: Palma M. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Cagliari: Pedro J. (Arm Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Udinese has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:20 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Udinese against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 16:9 goals (averaging 1.6:0.9 per game).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Cagliari: 0.38% Udinese: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	3	12
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8:11	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Cagliari - the odds 3.89 are the expected chance of winning is 24.42%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
14.09.26	Inter Milan - Udinese	5:3 ✺
07.09.26	Udinese - Lazio	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.09.26	Udinese - Venezia	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Monza - Udinese	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Udinese - Como	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWT
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
12.09.26	Atalanta - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Cagliari - Lecce	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.09.26	Cagliari - Verona	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.08.26	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Parma - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.05.26	Cagliari - Udinese	0:2
05.10.25	Udinese - Cagliari	1:1
03.05.25	Cagliari - Udinese	1:2
25.10.24	Udinese - Cagliari	2:0
18.02.24	Udinese - Cagliari	1:1
Coppa Italia
01.11.23	Udinese - Cagliari	1:2 ET
Italian Serie A
17.09.23	Cagliari - Udinese	0:0

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