Match Info

Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 2


	Udinese		Venezia

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.70	4.50
	1.71	3.60	4.40
	1.81	3.65	4.30	Watch
	1.77	3.74	4.76
	1.86	3.58	4.06	Watch
	1.76	3.70	4.60
	1.72	3.77	4.87	Watch
	1.70	3.55	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.99)	3.66 ↑ (3.39)	4.49 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
53.5%

Draw
25.6%

Venezia
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27.6%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

26.9%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Udinese's performance.

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Udinese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	8.7%	0%

Udinese - Venezia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Udinese (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Udinese will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Mrozek B. (G) 13. Bertola N. 27. Kabasele C. 28. Solet O. 23. Vojvoda M. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 38. Miller L. 20. Arizala J. 46. Gomez U. 15. Bayo V. 9. Davis K.	96. Montipo L. (G) 95. Gomes A. 17. Bella-Kotchap A. 25. Halhal R. 14. Correia T. 19. Sohm S. 30. Dagasso M. (C) 21. Helgason T. J. 20. Sagrado R. 29. Lauberbach L. 7. Rrahmani A.
Substitutes
14. Abankwah J. 77. Ebosse E. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 7. Gueye I. 11. Kamara H. 4. Lovric S. 93. Padelli D. (G) 79. Pejicic D. 99. Piana E. (G) 24. Piotrowski J. 45. Vinciati G. 6. Zarraga O.	45. Adams A. 36. Berardi L. 6. Busio G. 8. Fanne L. 23. Grandi M. (G) 18. Hainaut A. 5. Haps R. 15. Juan Jesus 56. Lisman K. 70. Mazzocchi P. 55. Panada S. 71. Perez K. 28. Pozzi A. (G) 3. Schingtienne J.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Sagrado R. ⚽,
11', Bertola N. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Bayo V. ⚽, Vojvoda M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bertola N. ↓, Abankwah J. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Bayo V. ⚽, Davis K. (A),
60', Davis K. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
72', Helgason T. J. ↓, Fanne L. ↑,
72', Gomes A. ↓, Haps R. ↑,
72', Vojvoda M. ↓, Kamara H. ↑,
72', Gomez U. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
74', Rrahmani A. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
82', Lauberbach L. ↓, Adams A. ↑,
83', Dagasso M. ↓, Panada S. ↑,
85', Kabasele C. ↓, Ebosse E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 3.

Recent performances by Udinese have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Venezia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Udinese could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Monza - Udinese	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Udinese - Como	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Udinese - Padova	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Trabzonspor - Udinese	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Udinese - Mainz	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWLT
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
28.08.26	Milan - Venezia	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Venezia - Lecce	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Venezia - Modena	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.26	Brest - Venezia	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Saint-Étienne - Venezia	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
01.02.25	Udinese - Venezia	3:2
30.10.24	Venezia - Udinese	3:2
10.04.22	Venezia - Udinese	1:2
27.08.21	Udinese - Venezia	3:0
Club Friendly
13.09.20	Udinese - Venezia	0:1
12.10.19	Udinese - Venezia	1:1

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