Match Info

Serie A - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: New Balance Arena (Bergamo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3
Albania	18:30	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	13:30	Disney+
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:30	DAZN
Bangladesh	22:30	Begin
Bolivia	12:30	ESPN 2
Brazil	13:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:30	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	23:30	MyTV
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM
China	00:30	Migu
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:30	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:30	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	11:30	ESPN 2
Finland	19:30	DAZN
France	18:30	DAZN France
Germany	18:30	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	00:30	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	18:30	Match 4
India	22:00	ZEE5
Indonesia	23:30	Vidio
Iraq	19:30	Almanasa
Israel	19:30	Sport 1
Italy	18:30	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	01:30	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:30	Arena Premium 2
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	10:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	18:30	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	05:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	18:30	VG+
Paraguay	13:30	ESPN 2
Peru	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Romania	19:30	Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	19:30	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	19:30	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	18:30	Sport 1
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport 1
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Suriname	13:30	SCCN
Sweden	18:30	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	18:30	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	19:30	S Sport 2
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	17:30	DAZN
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	CBS Sports Network, NBC Universo, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+, ESPN 2


	Atalanta		Venezia

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.20	5.50
	1.55	4.50	5.25
	1.52	4.25	5.60	Watch
	1.59	4.55	5.75
	1.54	4.48	5.7	Watch
	1.57	4.45	5.65
	1.62	4.53	5.66
	1.55	4.60	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.6)	4.45 ↑ (4.08)	5.59 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
61.3%

Draw
21.5%

Venezia
17.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.2%

23.2%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

21.7%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Venezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97.5%	2.5%	0%

Atalanta - Venezia Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Atalanta (1.57) (votes: 93%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (39 of 40 users predict this - 97.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 92.66% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atalanta will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 16. Bellanova R. 31. Kristensen T. 42. Scalvini G. 77. Zappacosta D. 19. Kessie F. 13. Ederson (C) 99. Elmas E. 17. De Ketelaere C. 11. Rowe J. 90. Krstovic N.	1. Stankovic F. (G) 25. Halhal R. 15. Juan Jesus (C) 2. Moreno M. 18. Hainaut A. 71. Perez K. 19. Sohm S. 26. Basic T. 14. Correia T. 10. Yeboah J. 45. Adams A.
Substitutes
47. Bernasconi L. 70. Gaetano G. 41. Idele J. 23. Kolasinac S. 40. Obric R. 8. Pasalic M. 18. Raspadori G. 10. Samardzic L. 9. Scamacca G. 51. Sonzogni M. (G) 57. Sportiello M. (G) 59. Zalewski N.	36. Berardi L. 30. Dagasso M. 8. Fanne L. 77. Fernandez T. 95. Gomes A. 5. Haps R. 21. Helgason T. J. 29. Lauberbach L. 56. Lisman K. 16. Mohammed R. 96. Montipo L. (G) 55. Panada S. 7. Rrahmani A. 20. Sagrado R. 3. Schingtienne J.
Coaches
Sarri M.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Kessie F. ⚽, Krstovic N. (A),
6', 2 - 0, Krstovic N. ⚽, Elmas E. (A),
8', Correia T. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
18', Moreno M. 🟨,
30', 3 - 0, Krstovic N. ⚽,
37', 3 - 1, Hainaut A. ⚽, Sagrado R. (A),
42', Juan Jesus 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
67', Scalvini G. ↓, Kolasinac S. ↑,
67', Bellanova R. ↓, Bernasconi L. ↑,
76', Rowe J. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
76', Kessie F. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
83', Basic T. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
83', Moreno M. ↓, Schingtienne J. ↑,
83', Adams A. ↓, Lauberbach L. ↑,
87', Sohm S. ↓, Rrahmani A. ↑,
89', Elmas E. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 20th in the Relegation - Serie B).

Atalanta has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Venezia is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Atalanta for this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Atalanta has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:1 (averaging 2.2:0.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atalanta against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:0 goals (averaging 2:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Atalanta	9	3	2	4	16:17	-1	11
20	Venezia	9	1	0	8	6:19	-13	3

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Atalanta: 0.45% Venezia: 0.11%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
20.09.26	Juventus - Atalanta	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Atalanta - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Roma - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Atalanta - Bologna	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWW
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
19.09.26	Venezia - Lazio	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Venezia - Fiorentina	2:4 ✺
06.09.26	Frosinone - Venezia	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.09.26	Udinese - Venezia	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.08.26	Milan - Venezia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
01.03.25	Atalanta - Venezia	0:0
20.10.24	Venezia - Atalanta	0:2
23.04.22	Venezia - Atalanta	1:3
Coppa Italia
12.01.22	Atalanta - Venezia	2:0
Italian Serie A
30.11.21	Atalanta - Venezia	4:0

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