Match Info

Serie A - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	19:00	Begin
Belgium	15:00	DAZN 2
Bolivia	09:00	ESPN 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	10:00	Disney+, SportyNet
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	20:00	MyTV
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Chile	10:00	ESPN 3
China	21:00	Migu
Colombia	08:00	ESPN 3
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	08:00	ESPN 3
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
India	18:30	ZEE5
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Iraq	16:00	Almanasa
Israel	16:00	Sport 4
Italy	15:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	16:00	Shasha
Macao	21:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	07:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Paraguay	10:00	ESPN 3
Peru	08:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 5, Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Suriname	10:00	SCCN
Sweden	15:00	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	14:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	16:00	S Sport 2
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	Paramount+, Peacock
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter


	Venezia		Napoli

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.75	1.80	Watch
	4.10	3.70	1.83
	4.40	3.90	1.70	Watch
	4.61	3.75	1.85
	4.72	3.97	1.76	Watch
	4.50	3.70	1.82
	4.61	3.79	1.78
	4.40	3.95	1.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↓ (4.51)	3.81 ↓ (4.07)	1.79 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
21.5%

Draw
25.1%

Napoli
53.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.1%

23.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

23.3%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	2.1%	93.6%

Venezia - Napoli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Venezia (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +3 - Venezia (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Napoli (1.83) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (44 of 47 users predict this - 93.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.63% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Napoli (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (G) 25. Halhal R. 2. Moreno M. 15. Juan Jesus (C) 18. Hainaut A. 71. Perez K. 19. Sohm S. 26. Basic T. 5. Haps R. 10. Yeboah J. 45. Adams A.	1. Meret A. (G) 31. Beukema S. 13. Rrahmani A. 5. Badiashile B. 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 6. Gilmour B. 68. Lobotka S. 37. Spinazzola L. 23. Giovane 8. McTominay S. 20. Lucca L.
Substitutes
36. Berardi L. 30. Dagasso M. 8. Fanne L. 77. Fernandez T. 95. Gomes A. 21. Helgason T. J. 29. Lauberbach L. 56. Lisman K. 70. Mazzocchi P. 16. Mohammed R. 96. Montipo L. (G) 55. Panada S. 7. Rrahmani A. 20. Sagrado R. 3. Schingtienne J.	27. Alisson Santos 99. Anguissa F. 14. Contini N. (G) 11. De Bruyne K. 19. Hojlund R. 70. Lang N. 35. Marianucci L. 16. Marin R. 32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 17. Olivera M. 21. Politano M.
Coaches
Nicola D.	Allegri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Adams A. ⚽, Sohm S. (A),
54', Lucca L. ↓, Hojlund R. ↑,
54', Gilmour B. ↓, De Bruyne K. ↑,
55', Giovane ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
61', Basic T. 🟨,
63', Yeboah J. ↓, Rrahmani A. ↑,
63', Beukema S. ↓, Politano M. ↑,
68', De Bruyne K. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Haps R. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
71', Basic T. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
72', Moreno M. ↓, Schingtienne J. ↑,
80', Perez K. 🟨,
82', Sohm S. ↓, Fanne L. ↑,
82', Spinazzola L. ↓, Olivera M. ↑,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 20th in the Relegation - Serie B and 9th).

Venezia is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Napoli has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Venezia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Napoli for this game.

Confirmed absences for Venezia: Adorante A. (Hernia) Busio G. (Thigh Injury) Franjic B. (Shoulder Injury) Sverko M. (Hip Injury).

Confirmed absences for Napoli: Buongiorno A. (Knee Injury) David Neres (Thigh Injury) Favasuli C. (Thigh Injury) Vergara A. (Calf Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Venezia: Bella-Kotchap A. (Thigh Injury) Correia T. (Thigh Injury) Mazzocchi P. (Calf Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Napoli: Alisson Santos (Muscle Injury) Anguissa F. (Groin Injury) Olivera M. (Groin Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Napoli in today's match, at odds of 1.71.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Venezia has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:5 (averaging 0:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Venezia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Napoli	9	4	2	3	17:11	6	14
20	Venezia	9	1	0	8	6:19	-13	3

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 1.41% Venezia: 0.02%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
12.10.26	Atalanta - Venezia	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Venezia - Lazio	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Venezia - Fiorentina	2:4 ✺
06.09.26	Frosinone - Venezia	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.09.26	Udinese - Venezia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SSC Napoli
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Villarreal - Napoli	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
10.10.26	Napoli - Frosinone	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Fiorentina - Napoli	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Napoli - Bologna	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Napoli - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
16.03.25	Venezia - Napoli	0:0
29.12.24	Napoli - Venezia	1:0
06.02.22	Venezia - Napoli	0:2
22.08.21	Napoli - Venezia	2:0

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