The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ufa 33.5%
Draw 30.7%
Krylya Sovetov 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
30.3%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.8%
21.7%
47%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ufa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krylya Sovetov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
45.8%
16.7%
Ufa - Krylya Sovetov Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Ufa will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Krylya Sovetov will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 45.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.9% โ 65.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
Ufa has the most likely position - 13 (11.13%), has project points - 34, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (29%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Krylya Sovetov has the most likely position - 16 (15.21%), has project points - 30, has currently - 4, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Ufa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Krylya Sovetov is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Ufa won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Ufa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.
Watch
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