The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ufa 28.5%
Draw 29.8%
Lokomotiv Moscow 41.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
29.2%
43.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.4%
21.9%
57.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ufa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.7%
14.7%
70.7%
Ufa - Lokomotiv Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
75 users predict this event. Ufa will win (votes: 11 - 14.7%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 53 - 70.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 14.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv: 60.4% โ 81%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Ufa has the most likely position - 13 (65.25%), has project points - 25, has currently - 25, has a chance of relegated (50%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Lokomotiv has the most likely position - 3 (100%), has project points - 56, has currently - 56, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Ufa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Lokomotiv is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Lokomotiv will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Ufa won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Ufa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-7.
Watch
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