Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday


	Nizhny Novgorod		Ufa

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.64	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.15)	3.64 ↓ (3.78)	3.54 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nizhny Novgorod
47.8%

Draw
25.7%

Ufa
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

24.8%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

24.2%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ufa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nizhny Novgorod that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ufa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nizhny Novgorod - Ufa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Lipovoy D. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Popolitov G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Pari NN has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ufa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pari NN could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pari NN won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian Premier League
17.05.26	Rubin Kazan - Nizhny Novgorod	2:2 ✺
11.05.26	Nizhny Novgorod - CSKA Moscow	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Akhmat Grozny - Nizhny Novgorod	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Orenburg - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL
- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
16.05.26	Spartak Kostroma - Ufa	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Ufa - Rotor	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Ufa	SKA Khabarovsk Awarded ✺
26.04.26	Rodina Moscow - Ufa	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Ufa - KAMAZ	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
12.03.22	Ufa - Nizhny Novgorod	0:0
14.08.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Ufa	1:2
Russian Cup
26.09.18	Nizhny Novgorod - Ufa	1:0 penalties

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