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Current Win Probability
Krylya Sovetov 33.8%
Draw 28%
Akhmat Grozny 38.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
27.5%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
26.8%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akhmat Grozny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
42.9%
42.9%
Krylya Sovetov - Akhmat Grozny Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Krylya Sovetov will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Akhmat will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Pesjakov S. (C) 22. Fernando Costanza 23. Chernov N. 47. Bozhin S. 15. Rasskazov N. 6. Babkin S. 8. Vityugov M. 2. Pechenin K. 26. Marin J. 11. Rahmanovic A. 19. Oleynikov I.
1. Ulyanov V. (G) 82. Khlusevich D. 22. Zare M. 5. Cake K. 8. Bogosavac M. 19. Pryakhin S. 37. Gadio P. 20. Samorodov M. 17. Cacintura E. 7. Sadulaev L. (C) 77. Melkadze G.
Substitutes
77. Akhmetov I. 14. Banjac M. 24. Evgenyev R. 72. Fernandez D. 39. Frolov E. (G) 91. Ignatenko V. 10. Khubulov V. 80. Kokarev N. (G) 18. Lepskii I. 5. Oroz D. 70. Shumansky A. 20. Stolbov K.
2. Abdulkadyrov D. 27. Davlitgereev A. 4. Ibishev T. 23. Kenzhebek G. 13. Konate M. 72. Magomedov Y. (G) 9. Mansilla B. 88. Shelia G. (G) 81. Sidorov M. 80. Tsarukyan V. 40. Utsiev R. 10. Zhemaletdinov R.
Coaches
Bulatov S.
Cherchesov S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Rahmanovic A. ⚽, Vityugov M. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Melkadze G. ⚽, Samorodov M. (A),
33', Babkin S. 🟨,
40', 1 - 2, Cacintura E. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', Samorodov M. 🟨,
45+3', Pechenin K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Babkin S. ↓, Banjac M. ↑,
62', Samorodov M. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
65', Marin J. ↓, Akhmetov I. ↑,
67', Oleynikov I. 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Chernov N. ⚽, Banjac M. (A),
71', Sadulaev L. 🟨,
75', Gadio P. ↓, Kenzhebek G. ↑,
81', Rahmanovic A. ↓, Ignatenko V. ↑,
81', Vityugov M. ↓, Shumansky A. ↑,
82', Melkadze G. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
82', Sadulaev L. ↓, Ibishev T. ↑,
88', Oleynikov I. ↓, Khubulov V. ↑,
90+3', Kenzhebek G. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 1.
Krylya Sovetov is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Akhmat has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Akhmat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Rakov V.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Akhmat: Silva I.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Krylya Sovetov: Geoffrey C.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Akhmat: Sadulaev L.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Krylya Sovetov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.8:2.2).
Asia
Belarus
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
North-macedonia
Russia
Serbia
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Pesjakov S. (C) 
Fernando Costanza 
Pechenin K. 
Marin J. 
Rahmanovic A. 
Zare M. 
Cake K. 
Bogosavac M. 
Gadio P. 
Samorodov M. 
Cacintura E. 
Fernandez D. 
Oroz D. 
Konate M. 
Mansilla B. 
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