Match Info

FNL - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina (Khabarovsk)

Referee: Fedotov S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier


	SKA Khabarovsk		Ufa

	1	X	2
	2.67	3.03	2.95
	2.55	3.16	2.96
	2.36	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.43)	3.06 ↓ (3.14)	2.89 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Khabarovsk
37%

Draw
30.5%

Ufa
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

SKA Khabarovsk - Ufa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 1.

SKA Khabarovsk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ufa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA Khabarovsk won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ufa: 0.78% SKA Khabarovsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ufa	12	4	6	2	16:13	3	18
18	SKA Khabarovsk	12	1	3	8	11:23	-12	6

Last Results with these Odds

SKA Khabarovsk - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 39.25%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian FNL
26.04.26	Shinnik - SKA Khabarovsk	3:0 ✺
22.04.26	Spartak Kostroma - SKA Khabarovsk	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Rotor	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Chelyabinsk - SKA Khabarovsk	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLTT
- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
26.04.26	Rodina Moscow - Ufa	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Ufa - KAMAZ	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Ural - Ufa	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Ufa - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
19.07.25	Ufa - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1
10.11.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Ufa	1:0
05.10.24	Ufa - SKA Khabarovsk	3:3
02.04.23	Ufa - SKA Khabarovsk	3:0
11.09.22	SKA Khabarovsk - Ufa	1:1
Russian Premier League
30.04.18	Ufa - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0
21.10.17	SKA Khabarovsk - Ufa	2:2

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