The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ufa 31.4%
Draw 29.7%
Spartak Moscow 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.6%
27.5%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
18.6%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ufa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.6%
22.6%
54.7%
Ufa - Spartak Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
53 users predict this event. Ufa will win (votes: 12 - 22.6%). Spartak M will win (votes: 29 - 54.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 22.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak M: 41.3% โ 68.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 10).
Ufa has the most likely position - 12 (17.2%), has project points - 31, has currently - 15, has a chance of relegated (37%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Spartak M has the most likely position - 7 (12.92%), has project points - 43, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Spartak M could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Ufa have a series of guest games.
Spartak M will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Ufa won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Ufa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.
Watch
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