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Current Win Probability
Spartak Moscow 19.5%
Draw 24.1%
Napoli 56.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.4%
22.1%
60.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.6%
18.6%
72%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.6%
10.3%
81%
Spartak Moscow - Napoli Predictions
Users Predictions:
Napoli will win
(47 of 58 users predict this - 81.03%). Confidence interval (95%): 70.94% โ 91.12%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Spartak M has currently - 4, has a very small chance of 1st (5%), has a small chance of 2nd (8%), has a chance of 3rd (27%), has a small chance of round of 16 (7%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Napoli has currently - 7, has a good chance of 1st (71%), has a chance of 2nd (18%), has a small chance of 3rd (9%), has a good chance of round of 16 (82%), has a good chance of qtrs (53%), has a chance of semis (34%), has a chance of final (21%), has a small chance of win league (12%).
Spartak M is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Napoli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Napoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Napoli is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Spartak M won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
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