Match Info

Date: 4 November 2021, Thursday


	Leicester City		Spartak Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	12
	1.24	6.75	10.5
	1.26	6.2	12
	1.25	5.8	10
	1.24	6.68	12.52
	1.28	5.8	9.5
	1.25	7.3	15.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.32)	6.36 ↑ (5.48)	11.72 ↑ (8.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
76.8%

Draw
15.1%

Spartak Moscow
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

17.3%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

8.4%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-41.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leicester City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74%	5.2%	20.8%

Leicester City - Spartak Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 77 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 57 - 74%). Spartak M will win (votes: 16 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 5.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 64.2% – 83.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Leicester has currently - 4, has a chance of 1st (29%), has a chance of 2nd (37%), has a chance of 3rd (27%), has a chance of round of 16 (49%), has a chance of qtrs (27%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Spartak M has currently - 3, has a very small chance of 1st (3%), has a small chance of 2nd (8%), has a chance of 3rd (21%), has a small chance of round of 16 (6%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Leicester is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Spartak M is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Spartak M could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leicester is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leicester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
30.10.21	Leicester City - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
27.10.21	Leicester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
24.10.21	Brentford - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.10.21	Spartak Moscow - Leicester City	3:4 ✺
English Premier League
16.10.21	Leicester City - Manchester United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWWW
- FC Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League
30.10.21	Spartak Moscow - Rostov	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Zenit - Spartak Moscow	7:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.10.21	Spartak Moscow - Leicester City	3:4 ✺
Russian Premier League
16.10.21	Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	2:2 ✺
03.10.21	Akhmat Grozny - Spartak Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
20.10.21	Spartak Moscow - Leicester City	3:4

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