Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Turkey	beIN Connect
World	Onefootball


	Ulm 1846		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.8	Watch
	4	3.9	1.82
	4	3.75	1.83	Watch
	4.15	4	1.87
	4.02	3.81	1.86	Watch
	3.8	3.9	1.8	Watch
	3.86	3.9	1.87	Watch
	4	3.75	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.82)	3.85 ↑ (3.78)	1.83 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
23.8%

Draw
24.6%

Hamburger SV
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

24.9%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

24.4%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	16.7%	58.3%

Ulm 1846 - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Hamburg will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Ortag C. (G) 32. Strompf P. 5. Reichert J. (C) 27. Kolbe N. 43. Rosch R. 26. Maier P. 23. Brandt M. 16. Keller A. 30. Krattenmacher M. 11. Chessa D. 29. Telalovic S.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 30. Hefti S. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 4. Schonlau S. (C) 28. Muheim M. 8. Elfadli D. 18. Jatta B. 17. Karabec A. 20. Richter M. 7. Dompe J. 27. Selke D.
Substitutes
7. Allgeier B. 44. Castelle N. H. 4. Gaal T. 33. Higl F. 22. Kahvic A. 10. Ludwig A. 9. Roser L. 1. Thiede N. (G) 20. Ulrich L.	40. Hermann H. (G) 33. Katterbach N. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 2. Mikelbrencis W. 24. Perrin L. 10. Pherai I. 6. Poreba L. 29. Sahiti E. 49. Stange O.
Coaches
Worle T.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Jatta B. 🟨,
21', Chessa D. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Keller A. ⚽, Rosch R. (A),
41', Telalovic S. 🟨,
42', Elfadli D. 🟨,
45+2', Richter M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Richter M. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
46', Jatta B. ↓, Sahiti E. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Selke D. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
65', Hadzikadunic D. ↓, Perrin L. ↑,
68', Elfadli D. 🟨,
72', Karabec A. ↓, Poreba L. ↑,
80', Chessa D. ↓, Kahvic A. ↑,
86', Selke D. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
89', Keller A. ↓, Castelle N. H. ↑,
89', Telalovic S. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
90+3', Konigsdorffer R. 🟨,
90+4', Muheim M. 🟨,
90+5', Brandt M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

There will not play in Ulm: Geyer T. (Knee Injury) Kolle N. (Ankle Injury) Stoll L. (Muscle Injury) Ulrich L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R. (Tendon Injury) Raab M. (Broken Hand) Reis L. (Thigh Injury) Zumberi V. (Tendon Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
07.12.24	Hannover - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
01.12.24	Ulm 1846 - Greuther Fürth	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Hertha Berlin - Ulm 1846	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Magdeburg - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
01.11.24	Ulm 1846 - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTTTT
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
08.12.24	Hamburger SV - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Karlsruher - Hamburger SV	1:3 ✺
23.11.24	Hamburger SV - Schalke 04	2:2 ✺
08.11.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hamburger SV	3:1 ✺
03.11.24	Hamburger SV - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWTLT

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