Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
Usa	ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Ulm 1846		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.63	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.65
	2.7	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.78	3.3	2.78
	2.74	3.23	2.78	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.62
	2.64	3.38	2.63	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.58)	3.26 ↓ (3.46)	2.66 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
35.4%

Draw
29%

Schalke 04
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

27.3%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	11.8%	35.3%

Ulm 1846 - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Schalke will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulm: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiede N. (G) 6. Geyer T. (C) 32. Strompf P. 27. Kolbe N. 43. Rosch R. 23. Brandt M. 26. Maier P. 18. Stoll L. 11. Chessa D. 30. Krattenmacher M. 33. Higl F.	28. Heekeren J. (G) 31. Bulut T. 26. Kalas T. 35. Kaminski M. 5. Murkin D. J. 23. Aydin M. 7. Seguin P. 14. Bachmann J. 37. Gruger M. 29. Mohr T. 19. Karaman K.
Substitutes
7. Allgeier B. 4. Gaal T. 38. Hyrylainen L. 16. Keller A. 19. Meier J. 9. Roser L. 12. Seybold M. (G) 29. Telalovic S. 20. Ulrich L.	30. Donkor A. 1. Hoffmann R. (G) 4. Noode S. 32. Podlech L. (G) 6. Schallenberg R. 41. Schmidt T. 27. Tempelmann L. 21. Wasinski M. 8. Younes A.
Coaches
Worle T.	Van Wonderen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Bachmann J. 🟨,
22', Stoll L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Seguin P. 🟨,
50', Kaminski M. 🟨,
57', Stoll L. ↓, Meier J. ↑,
64', Krattenmacher M. 🟨,
68', Higl F. ↓, Telalovic S. ↑,
68', Brandt M. ↓, Hyrylainen L. ↑,
72', Aydin M. ↓, Younes A. ↑,
72', Gruger M. ↓, Schallenberg R. ↑,
83', Seguin P. ↓, Donkor A. ↑,
85', Chessa D. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
86', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Keller A. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

Recent matches Ulm is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Schalke is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ulm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Ulm: Kahvic A. (Knee Injury) Ortag C. (Collarbone injury) Reichert J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Schalke: Antwi-Adjei C. (Hip Injury) Becker V. (Groin Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ulm won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 1.5:3.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ulm won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 1.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
27.10.24	Darmstadt - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Ulm 1846 - Karlsruher	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Stuttgart - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.24	Köln - Ulm 1846	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Ulm 1846 - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLTLW
- Schalke 04
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Augsburg - Schalke 04	3:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
26.10.24	Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth	3:4 ✺
19.10.24	Hannover - Schalke 04	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.10.24	Aarau - Schalke 04	2:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.24	Schalke 04 - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.09.23	Ulm 1846 - Schalke 04	2:4
German DFB Pokal
22.12.20	Ulm 1846 - Schalke 04	1:3

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