Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Burda M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Austria	13:00	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:00	Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	14:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	13:00	SportKlub 3
Czech Republic	13:00	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	13:00	Viaplay
Finland	14:00	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	13:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Hungary	13:00	Net4+
Iceland	12:00	Viaplay
Israel	14:00	Sport 3
Montenegro	13:00	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	13:00	Viaplay
North Macedonia	13:00	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Norway	13:00	Viaplay
Poland	13:00	Viaplay
Serbia	13:00	SportKlub 3
Slovakia	13:00	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	13:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:00	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Turkey	15:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 3
Usa	07:00	ESPN+
International	12:00	Onefootball


	Ulm 1846		Köln

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.7	3.3	2.05
	3.5	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.63	3.35	2.2
	3.54	3.29	2.16	Watch
	3.6	3.25	2.05
	3.57	3.33	2.12	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (3.77)	3.29 ↓ (3.32)	2.12 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
26.6%

Draw
28.7%

Köln
44.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.7%

28.1%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

27.7%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Ulm 1846 - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: Köln will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Ortag C. (G) 7. Allgeier B. 5. Reichert J. (C) 27. Kolbe N. 18. Stoll L. 38. Hyrylainen L. 23. Brandt M. 43. Rosch R. 9. Roser L. 21. Batista Meier O. 29. Telalovic S.	1. Schwabe M. (G) 25. Gazibegovic J. 4. Hubers T. (C) 2. Schmied J. 35. Finkgrafe M. 8. Huseinbasic D. 47. Olesen M. 29. Thielmann J. 9. Waldschmidt L. 11. Kainz F. 21. Tigges S.
Substitutes
11. Chessa D. 14. Dressel D. 6. Geyer T. 22. Kahvic A. 16. Keller A. 30. Krattenmacher M. 13. Leipertz R. 19. Meier J. 1. Thiede N. (G)	3. Heintz D. 46. Kujovic E. 7. Ljubicic D. 16. Obuz M. 17. Paqarada L. 26. Racioppi A. (G) 27. Rondic I. 39. Schmitt O. 49. Telle N.
Coaches
Worle T.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Thielmann J. 🟨,
62', Rosch R. ↓, Keller A. ↑,
63', Roser L. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
63', Huseinbasic D. ↓, Ljubicic D. ↑,
70', Stoll L. ↓, Geyer T. ↑,
81', Schmied J. ↓, Heintz D. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Waldschmidt L. ⚽, Thielmann J. (A),
89', Batista Meier O. ↓, Kahvic A. ↑,
89', Brandt M. ↓, Dressel D. ↑,
90+2', Finkgrafe M. ↓, Paqarada L. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 5).

The competitors look crappy now.

Köln will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Ulm: Gaal T. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Maina L. (Injury) Pauli J. (Concussion) Uth M. (Lacking Match Fitness)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ulm won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
01.03.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Ulm 1846 - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Nürnberg - Ulm 1846	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Ulm 1846 - Paderborn	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTLLL
- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
01.03.25	Karlsruher - Köln	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Magdeburg - Köln	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Köln - Schalke 04	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
05.02.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.24	Köln - Ulm 1846	2:0

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