Match Info

3. Liga - Round 31

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Exuzidis L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Ulm 1846		Verl

	1	X	2
	3.9	4	1.7	Watch
	3.95	4.05	1.72	Watch
	3.78	4.19	1.84
	3.56	4.49	1.77	Watch
	3.75	3.9	1.7
	3.96	3.98	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.74)	4.1 ↓ (4.11)	1.74 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
24.2%

Draw
22.5%

Verl
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

22.6%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

22.1%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ulm 1846 - Verl Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Verl will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Ortag C. (G) 18. Bazzoli L. 23. Brandt M. 3. Vukancic N. 19. Meier J. 14. Dressel D. 20. Pepic M. 32. Kolle N. 11. Chessa D. 9. Roser L. 43. Dajaku L.	1. Schulze P. (G) 21. Knost T. 5. Ens M. 34. Otto F. 24. Stocker M. 6. Eze J. 8. Waidner D. 30. Gayret T. (C) 10. Taz B. 23. Besio A. 11. Worner M.
Substitutes
33. Anderson Brown E. 34. Boller J. 31. Ehe B. 25. Loder E. 27. Mazagg L. 36. Mrden M. 1. Schmitt M. (G) 30. Vater F.	9. Arweiler J. 17. Mesanovic A. 28. Otto Y. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 7. Stark J. 18. Wessig F.
Coaches
Dotchev P.	Strobl T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Otto F. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Kolle N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Knost T. ↓, Otto Y. ↑,
61', Roser L. 🟨,
69', Eze J. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
72', Stocker M. 🟨,
76', Roser L. ↓, Loder E. ↑,
83', Dajaku L. ↓, Mazagg L. ↑,
83', Meier J. ↓, Boller J. ↑,
88', Stocker M. ↓, Wessig F. ↑,
88', Arweiler J. ↓, Mesanovic A. ↑,
90+1', Boller J. ↓, Vater F. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Ulm is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Verl is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ulm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Verl is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ulm won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ulm won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Verl: 0.95%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Verl	7	3	1	3	10:13	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
Club Friendly
25.03.26	Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846	1:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Energie Cottbus - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Ulm 1846 - Ingolstadt	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Schweinfurt - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
03.03.26	Ulm 1846 - Hoffenheim II	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLLL
- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Verl - Saarbrücken	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Verl - Schweinfurt	4:0 ✺
08.03.26	Ingolstadt - Verl	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Verl - Jahn Regensburg	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Energie Cottbus - Verl	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Verl - Ulm 1846	5:0
18.05.24	Ulm 1846 - Verl	4:2
16.12.23	Verl - Ulm 1846	0:3

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