Match Info

Date: 27 April 2022, Wednesday


	Ulsan Citizen		Busan I Park

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.37	Watch
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.55	3.1	2.5
	2.85	3.05	2.5
	2.62	3	2.5
	2.55	3.2	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.85)	3.09 ↓ (3.11)	2.48 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan Citizen
34.2%

Draw
29.3%

Busan I Park
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

29.1%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

29.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Busan I Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	54.5%	9.1%

Ulsan Citizen - Busan I Park Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ulsan Citizen will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Busan I Park will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Ulsan Citizen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Busan I Park is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Busan I Park could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
23.04.22	Ulsan Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:2 ✺
17.04.22	Cheongju - Ulsan Citizen	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Ulsan Citizen - Yangju Citizen	0:1 ✺
03.04.22	Gangneung - Ulsan Citizen	2:1 ✺
26.03.22	Paju Frontier - Ulsan Citizen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLW
- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
24.04.22	Busan I Park - Anyang	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Busan I Park - Seoul E-Land	1:2 ✺
06.04.22	Gwangju - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Chungnam Asan - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
27.03.22	Busan I Park - Gimpo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLLW

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