Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium (Ulsan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Ulsan HD		Buriram United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.35	2.12	Watch
	3.45	3.32	2.22
	2.10	3.56	3.19	Watch
	3.26	3.32	2.25	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.1)	3.36 ↓ (3.56)	2.39 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan HD
31.2%

Draw
28.6%

Buriram United
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

26.2%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

26.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulsan HD's form might have worsened.

Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buriram United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulsan HD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buriram United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	5.3%	42.1%

Ulsan HD - Buriram United Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Buriram will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Buriram (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Buriram (1.72) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Ulsan (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 6 - 50%). Buriram (votes: 6 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Moon Jung-In (G) 96. Choi Seok-Hyun 4. Seo Myung-Guan 28. Lee Jae-Ik 26. Park Min-Seo 66. Trojak M. 36. Lacava M. 14. Lee Jin-Hyun (C) 16. Lee H. 72. Baek In-Woo 9. Marcao	13. Etheridge N. (G) 22. Ko Myeong-Seok 55. Ibiza 6. Good C. 19. Schindler K. 23. Causic G. 16. Dougall K. (C) 44. Zulj P. 30. Stojkovic F. 7. Bissoli 32. Zulj R.
Substitutes
6. Bojanic D. 2. Cho Hyun-Taek 18. Heo Yool 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 5. Jung Woo-Young 13. Kang Sang-Woo 22. Kim Min-Hyeok 7. Ko Seung-Beom 27. Lee Chung-Yong 17. Ludwigson G. 31. Ryu Seong-Min (G) 11. Um Won-Sang	34. Bootprom C. (G) 5. Bunmathan T. 2. Haiprakon S. 3. Hemviboon P. 8. Maikami R. 10. Mueanta S. 27. Sukjitthammakul P. 14. Walsh S.
Coaches
Roh S.	Jackson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
73', Bissoli ↓, Mueanta S. ↑,
80', Lacava M. ↓, Ko Seung-Beom ↑,
82', Trojak M. 🟨,
82', Ibiza ↓, Bunmathan T. ↑,
85', Lee H. ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
85', Marcao ↓, Heo Yool ↑,
85', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
87', Bunmathan T. 🟨,
90', Baek In-Woo 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Ulsan is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Buriram is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Buriram is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ulsan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ulsan HD - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.48%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
22.11.25	Gwangju - Ulsan HD	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Ulsan HD - Suwon	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.25	Vissel Kobe - Ulsan HD	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
01.11.25	Anyang - Ulsan HD	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Ulsan HD - Daegu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLT
- Buriram United
Thai League 1
22.11.25	Muangthong United - Buriram United	0:5 ✺
09.11.25	Chonburi - Buriram United	4:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.11.25	Buriram United - Shanghai Port	2:0 ✺
Thai League 1
01.11.25	Buriram United - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Buriram United - Rayong FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
12.02.25	Buriram United - Ulsan HD	2:1

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