Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Metallurg (Zhezqazghan)

Referee: Tasybaev A. (Rus)


	Ulytau		Zhetysu

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.10	3.60
	2.2	3.05	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.26
	2.18	3.11	3.26	Watch
	2.07	3	3.15
	2.21	3.17	3.38	Watch
	2.17	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.87)	3.08 ↓ (3.09)	3.26 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulytau
42.6%

Draw
29.5%

Zhetysu
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

29.8%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulytau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulytau's form might have worsened.

Zhetysu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zhetysu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Ulytau - Zhetysu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nepogodov D. (G) 2. Carmona Sierra D. 28. Bugulov G. (C) 25. Bukhal G. 12. Afanasenko V. 90. Martin D. 18. Bougnone A. 8. Vachiberadze B. 7. Kishi K. 10. Taubay A. 45. Zulfikarov B.	88. Sicaci S. (G) 4. Kashken D. 15. Pajovic J. (C) 3. Luna D. 11. Dobay A. 8. Adakhadziev A. 7. Muzhikov S. 23. Baltabekov A. 18. Shvyrev V. 27. Zivanovic M. 77. Anuarbekov N.
Substitutes
13. Akhmedov A. 22. Chernyak I. 17. Daniyarov B. 14. Harada H. 69. Maulenov D. 21. Nurali O. 9. Serikkul R. 77. Shauymbay M. 40. Shcherbakov S. (G) 11. Smith A. 78. Zakirov T. (G)	9. Abzalov S. 31. Akhmetov A. 20. Anuarbek S. 2. Aslan R. 1. Egorov A. (G) 90. Jovanovic S. 17. Nurbol N. 5. Orynbassar R. 22. Podymskiy D. (G) 21. Zhakipbayev M. 40. Zhamalov B.
Coaches
Mazbaev N.	Nurdauletov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Kashken D. ↓, Jovanovic S. ↑,
28', Bukhal G. ↓, Maulenov D. ↑,
30', Bugulov G. 🟨,
37', Maulenov D. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Anuarbekov N. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Taubay A. ↓, Harada H. ↑,
49', Muzhikov S. 🟨,
50', Adakhadziev A. 🟨,
56', Baltabekov A. 🟨,
56', Vachiberadze B. 🟨,
56', Kishi K. ↓, Chernyak I. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Harada H. ⚽,
70', Adakhadziev A. ↓, Zhakipbayev M. ↑,
70', Zivanovic M. ↓, Anuarbek S. ↑,
80', Vachiberadze B. ↓, Serikkul R. ↑,
80', Zulfikarov B. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
82', Serikkul R. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 0, Chernyak I. ⚽, Harada H. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).

Ulytau is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zhetysu has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ulytau might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ulytau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ulytau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ulytau	26	8	8	10	24:32	-8	32
16	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	26	5	7	14	26:44	-18	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ulytau
Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Kairat - Ulytau	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Ulytau - Astana	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Ulytau - Ertis Pavlodar	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Zhenis - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLT
- FC Zhetysu
Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Zhenis - Zhetysu	4:1 ✺
08.08.26	Zhetysu - Ordabasy	0:4 ✺
01.08.26	Atyrau - Zhetysu	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Zhetysu - Kyzylzhar	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Okzhetpes - Zhetysu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
26.04.26	Zhetysu - Ulytau	2:0
28.06.25	Ulytau - Zhetysu	1:2
08.03.25	Zhetysu - Ulytau	0:0

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