Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Kaysar Arena (Kyzylorda)

Referee: Karabaev S. (Kaz)


	Kaisar		Ulytau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.20	2.65
	2.20	3.00	2.85	Watch
	2.34	3.20	2.93
	2.32	3.14	2.96	Watch
	2.30	3.00	2.80
	2.36	3.56	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.07)	3.18 ↓ (3.35)	2.82 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaisar
39.3%

Draw
28.5%

Ulytau
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

27.5%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaisar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaisar's form might have worsened.

Ulytau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaisar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Kaisar - Ulytau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kaisar will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ulytau will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salaydin N. (C) 15. Idrisov N. 25. Bukorac S. 43. Klaidher 47. Konlimkos B. 24. Cuckic N. 42. Miqueias 12. Sovet S. 14. Jones T. 9. Agzambaev N. 70. Ezekiel I.	1. Nepogodov D. (G) 4. Chalkin M. 28. Bugulov G. 25. Bukhal G. 3. Keiler S. (C) 7. Kishi K. 18. Bougnone A. 8. Vachiberadze B. 14. Harada H. 90. Martin D. 11. Smith A.
Substitutes
93. Askarov S. 16. Azhikhan A. (G) 6. Kaldybekov E. 40. Kovac A. (G) 96. Mukhammed A. 2. Redzhepov T. 18. Rustemuly D. 21. Serikuly D. 3. Tolegenov A. 17. Zhumabekov S. 23. Zhumat M.	12. Afanasenko V. 17. Daniyarov B. 22. Kospayev E. 69. Maulenov D. 19. Mukanbetzhanov A. 21. Nurali O. 6. Nursultanov K. 9. Serikkul R. 40. Shcherbakov S. (G) 10. Taubay A. 78. Zakirov T. (G) 45. Zulfikarov B.
Coaches
Ferapontov A.	Mazbaev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Keiler S. 🟨,
38', Chalkin M. 🟨,
42', Martin D. 🟨,
43', Sovet S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Agzambaev N. ↓, Mukhammed A. ↑,
51', Smith A. 🟨,
60', Jones T. ↓, Kaldybekov E. ↑,
62', Bukorac S. 🟨,
71', Smith A. ↓, Zulfikarov B. ↑,
71', Harada H. ↓, Serikkul R. ↑,
73', Miqueias 🟨,
73', Konlimkos B. ↓, Zhumat M. ↑,
79', Vachiberadze B. ↓, Taubay A. ↑,
86', Bougnone A. ↓, Nursultanov K. ↑,
86', Kishi K. ↓, Afanasenko V. ↑,
90+5', Chalkin M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 5).

Kaisar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Ulytau has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Kaisar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ulytau	26	8	8	10	24:32	-8	32
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda	26	4	12	10	22:33	-11	24

Last Results with these Odds

Ulytau - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 28.12%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakh Premier League
14.06.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Kaisar	1:2 ✺
28.05.26	Kaisar - Yelimay Semey	2:3 ✺
23.05.26	Kairat - Kaisar	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
13.05.26	Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WLTWW
- FC Ulytau
Kazakh Premier League
14.06.26	Ulytau - Zhenis	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
22.05.26	Astana - Ulytau	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Ulytau - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Ulytau - Kairat	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
18.10.25	Ulytau - Kaisar	1:1
22.06.25	Kaisar - Ulytau	1:1

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