Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 3

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo Cha das Padeiras (Santarem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	União de Santarém		Vitoria Guimarães B

	1	X	2
	2.28	3	2.92
	2.42	3.17	3.06
	2.4	3.12	3	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.23	3.33	3.12	Watch
	2.33	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.33)	3.09 ↑ (3.09)	2.99 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Santarém
39.5%

Draw
29.8%

Vitoria Guimarães B
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.5%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

29.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Vitoria Guimarães B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

União de Santarém - Vitoria Guimarães B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Hidalgo N. (G) 4. Pereira P. 28. Vinhas D. 5. Rodeia M. 29. Teixeira R. 16. Grilo M. 6. Nanco I. 3. Joao Ricardo 17. Aguas G. 11. Goncalves E. F. 20. Ventura B.	99. Guilherme (G) 96. Rodrigo Silva 76. Alcobia 93. Rika 82. Dias F. 50. Zeega 80. Rocha R. 88. Nogueira M. 56. Verdi S. 32. Tepe M. 33. Opara E.
Substitutes
84. Ayiah E. 13. Bura 9. Eberth 24. Medalli N. 58. Monteiro D. 78. Pedro Teixeira (G) 33. Rodrigues M. 14. Simoes J. 7. Teixeira G.	67. Bruma 97. Carreira D. 79. Carvalho D. 60. Deivid M. 57. Martins J. 73. Miguel Vaz 55. Rebelo D. 83. Sampaio J. 71. Silva D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Grilo M. 🟨,
38', Alcobia 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Grilo M. ↓, Eberth ↑,
49', Pereira P. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Verdi S. ⚽,
63', Opara E. ↓, Miguel Vaz ↑,
63', Verdi S. ↓, Carvalho D. ↑,
70', Nanco I. ↓, Bura ↑,
70', Aguas G. ↓, Ayiah E. ↑,
76', Rika 🟨,
79', Pereira P. ↓, Medalli N. ↑,
80', Tepe M. ↓, Deivid M. ↑,
85', Goncalves E. F. ↓, Teixeira G. ↑,
86', Rocha R. 🟨,
88', Rodrigo Silva 🟨,

Preview

Santarém is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guimarães B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
14.02.26	Trofense - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	União de Santarém - Belenenses	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Mafra - União de Santarém	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	União de Santarém - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	União de Santarém - 1 Dezembro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WWTTW
- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
15.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Belenenses	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Académica Coimbra - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Sanjoanense - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Fafe	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Varzim	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWWL

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