Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 32

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Unión Adarve		Conquense

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4.2
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.89	3.1	4
	1.9	3.4	3.99
	1.92	3.13	4.04	Watch
	1.93	3.12	4.37
	1.89	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.28)	3.15 ↑ (2.96)	4.07 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
48.5%

Draw
29%

Conquense
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Adarve's performance.

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Conquense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Adarve that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Conquense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unión Adarve - Conquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Conquense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Unión Adarve will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Unión Adarve won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Last Results with these Odds

Unión Adarve - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.04%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.04.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Unión Adarve - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Real Madrid C - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Unión Adarve - Tenerife B	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Unión Adarve - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLTT
- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.04.25	Conquense - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Cacereño - Conquense	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Conquense - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	CD Guadalajara - Conquense	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Conquense - Melilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.12.24	Conquense - Unión Adarve	1:1

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