Match Info

Date: 18 December 2020, Friday


	Unión Comercio		Molinos El Pirata

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	2.95
	2.14	3.2	2.9
	2.03	3.45	2.9
	2.14	3.68	3.15
	2.1	3.5	2.88
	2.24	3.88	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.45)	3.54 ↑ (3.3)	2.91 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Comercio
43%

Draw
25.7%

Molinos El Pirata
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

27.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

20%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Comercio's performance.

Molinos El Pirata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Comercio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molinos El Pirata than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Molinos El Pirata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unión Comercio - Molinos El Pirata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Neutral location. No spectators.

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Comercio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 2
11.12.20	Unión Huaral - Unión Comercio	2:1 ✺
07.12.20	Unión Comercio - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
01.12.20	Juan Aurich - Unión Comercio	2:0 ✺
26.11.20	Unión Comercio - Los Chankas	2:1 ✺
18.11.20	Santos - Unión Comercio	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLWW
- Molinos El Pirata
Peruvian Liga 2
11.12.20	Molinos El Pirata - Santos	1:1 ✺
07.12.20	Los Chankas - Molinos El Pirata	0:3 ✺
02.12.20	Molinos El Pirata - Chavelines Juniors	1:1 ✺
26.11.20	Juan Aurich - Molinos El Pirata	0:1 ✺
18.11.20	Molinos El Pirata - Alianza Atlético	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
17.08.19	Molinos El Pirata - Unión Comercio	0:2
04.03.19	Unión Comercio - Molinos El Pirata	2:0

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