The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Comercio 14.8%
Draw 23.7%
Universitario de Deportes 61.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.5%
21.3%
60.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.4%
21.2%
60.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
Unión Comercio - Universitario de Deportes Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Unión Comercio will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Barrios I. (G) 17. Vargas D. 20. Ramirez C. 3. Paredes T. (C) 27. Trujillo L. 19. Uribe C. 15. Jimenez O. 10. Hernan Perez 24. Javier Navea 7. Carranza M. 29. Zeta H.
1. Britos S. (G) 29. Corzo A. (C) 3. Riveros W. 5. Di Benedetto M. 24. Polo A. 16. Perez M. 18. Urena R. 17. Concha J. 34. Portocarrero S. 19. Flores E. 20. Valera A.
Substitutes
23. Alvarez J. 13. Angulo Grueso B. A. 12. Diaz W. (G) 4. Perez V. 14. Regalado I. 32. Rios D. 8. Sandoval V. 31. Serra P. 6. Villalta B.
26. Ancajima H. 27. Cabanillas N. 10. Calcaterra H. 7. Celi Y. 35. Dorregaray D. 23. Murrugarra J. 33. Olivares C. 21. Romero D. (G) 2. Saravia M.
Coaches
Garcia M.
Bustos F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Javier Navea 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Perez M. ⚽, Concha J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Uribe C. ↓, Serra P. ↑,
51', Ramirez C. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Hernan Perez ⚽, Paredes T. (A),
60', 1 - 2, Perez M. ⚽, Concha J. (A),
62', Portocarrero S. 🟨,
64', Concha J. ↓, Calcaterra H. ↑,
64', Portocarrero S. ↓, Cabanillas N. ↑,
66', Javier Navea ↓, Regalado I. ↑,
70', Hernan Perez 🟨,
79', Flores E. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
79', Valera A. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
84', Carranza M. ↓, Angulo Grueso B. A. ↑,
87', Perez M. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
90+5', Zeta H. ↓, Sandoval V. ↑,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 2).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 1.
Unión Comercio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Universitario de Deportes is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Universitario de Deportes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Universitario de Deportes is a favorite.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 19-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Unión Comercio won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-8.
Watch
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Barrios I. (G) 
Vargas D. 
Ramirez C. 
Paredes T. (C) 
Di Benedetto M. 
Urena R. 
Portocarrero S. 
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