Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 2 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Lima)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4


	Universitario de Deportes		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
	2.55	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.62	3.02	3.05
	2.52	3.03	3.09
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.53	3.06	2.98	Watch
	2.49	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.38)	3.04 ↓ (3.24)	2.96 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Universitario de Deportes
37.5%

Draw
30.8%

LDU Quito
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.9%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

28.3%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	44.4%	55.6%

Universitario de Deportes - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Britos S. (G) 29. Corzo A. (C) 3. Riveros W. 2. Saravia M. 24. Polo A. 16. Perez M. 18. Urena R. 8. Gonzales C. 34. Portocarrero S. 11. Rivera J. 19. Flores E.	22. Dominguez A. (G) 14. Quinteros J. 4. Ade R. 6. Rodriguez F. 33. Quinonez L. 3. Mina R. 18. Piovi L. (C) 88. Angulo M. 26. Jhojan Julio 19. Arce A. 11. Estrada M.
Substitutes
26. Ancajima H. 14. Bolivar J. 27. Cabanillas N. 12. Calderon J. (G) 7. Celi Y. 17. Concha J. 35. Dorregaray D. 32. Flores A. 23. Murrugarra J. 33. Olivares C. 31. Rojas A. 21. Romero D. (G)	10. Alvarado A. 9. Alzugaray L. 35. Charcopa J. 28. Espinoza J. 8. Estupinan L. 21. Gonzalez Baquero S. 16. Parrales M. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 1. Valle G. (G) 15. Villamil G. 24. Zanini A.
Coaches
Bustos F.	Alcacer J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Saravia M. 🟨,
20', Angulo M. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Quinonez L. ⚽,
41', Gonzales C. ↓, Concha J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Quinteros J. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Rivera J. ⚽, Perez M. (A),
62', Arce A. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
63', Angulo M. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
66', Portocarrero S. 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Rivera J. ⚽,
73', Mina R. ↓, Gonzalez Baquero S. ↑,
75', Portocarrero S. ↓, Cabanillas N. ↑,
75', Perez M. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
83', Cabanillas N. 🟨,
84', Rivera J. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
84', Flores E. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
86', Gonzalez Baquero S. 🟨,
86', Jhojan Julio ↓, Estupinan L. ↑,

Preview

Universitario de Deportes is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches LDU Quito is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Universitario de Deportes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
30.03.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
12.03.24	Universitario de Deportes - Cusco	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Universitario de Deportes	2:2 ✺
01.03.24	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Huancayo	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWTWT
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.03.24	LDU Quito - Imbabura	5:0 ✺
16.03.24	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Cumbayá - LDU Quito	1:3 ✺
04.03.24	LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
Recopa Sudamericana
29.02.24	Fluminense - LDU Quito	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches