Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 7

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Jimenez Lazo F. (Chi)


	Unión Española		Ñublense

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.16	3.45	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.31	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.25
	2.21	3.36	3.23	Watch
	2.16	3.45	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.17)	3.32 ↓ (3.34)	3.23 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Española
43%

Draw
28.1%

Ñublense
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Ñublense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Unión Española - Ñublense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Española: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Española (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Torgnascioli F. (G) 19. Vejar B. 3. Vidal V. 21. Diaz N. 24. Norambuena G. 14. Nunez I. 5. Nadruz A. 10. Uribe A. 20. Marin M. 22. Aranguiz P. (C) 23. Jeraldino I.	1. Perez N. (G) 16. Sanhueza D. 4. Bosso Torres O. 2. Labrin C. 14. Campusano G. 13. Saavedra D. 21. Reyes L. (C) 20. Mateos F. 8. Graciani G. 12. Rubio P. 11. Sanchez P.
Substitutes
8. Carvallo U. B. A. 18. Espinoza F. 6. Jauregui B. 11. Montes C. 1. Parra M. (G) 13. Pereira S. 9. Suarez M.	27. Gonzalez R. 28. Molina L. 10. Rozas I. 9. Sosa G. 30. Tapia D. (G) 15. Valencia Cisternas S. A. 5. Valencia E.
Coaches
Sierra Jose L.	Gaete A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Norambuena G. ⚽, Aranguiz P. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Aranguiz P. ⚽,
45+2', Bosso Torres O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Saavedra D. ↓, Rozas I. ↑,
46', Uribe A. 🟨,
60', Jeraldino I. ↓, Suarez M. ↑,
60', Marin M. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
60', Uribe A. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
74', Mateos F. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
74', Reyes L. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
78', Sanchez P. ↓, Molina L. ↑,
78', Nunez I. ↓, Jauregui B. ↑,
86', Rubio P. 🟨,
87', 3 - 0, Suarez M. (Pen),
88', Aranguiz P. ↓, Pereira S. ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ñublense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Unión Española have a series of home games.

Unión Española will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Española won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:11 (average 2.1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Española
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.25	Unión Española - Once Caldas	0:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
06.04.25	Unión Española - Palestino	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.25	GVCD San José - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
28.03.25	Unión Española - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
21.03.25	Unión Española - Audax Italiano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTLT
- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Cup
05.04.25	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
28.03.25	Ñublense - Deportes Iquique	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
22.03.25	Deportes Santa Cruz - Ñublense	3:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.03.25	Palestino - Ñublense	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Ñublense - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
22.08.24	Ñublense - Unión Española	0:0
31.03.24	Unión Española - Ñublense	5:3
06.07.23	Ñublense - Unión Española	0:1
20.01.23	Unión Española - Ñublense	0:1
14.08.22	Ñublense - Unión Española	1:2
21.03.22	Unión Española - Ñublense	1:0
13.11.21	Ñublense - Unión Española	6:1

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