Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Play Offs - Final

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Sierra Nevada (Santa Marta)


	Unión Magdalena		Independiente Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.50	2.25	Watch
	2.90	3.00	2.20
	2.95	3.15	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3.16	2.32
	3.03	3.15	2.4	Watch
	3.10	3.10	2.25
	3.07	3.02	2.23	Watch
	3.00	3.25	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.25)	3.17 ↓ (3.25)	2.27 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Magdalena
30.4%

Draw
29.1%

Independiente Santa Fe
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Unión Magdalena - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Molina F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Portocarrero C. ⚽,

Preview

Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 0.

Unión Magdalena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Santa Fe could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Santa Fe - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 44.83%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera B
18.09.26	Patriotas - Unión Magdalena	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Real Cundinamarca - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Envigado - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Unión Magdalena - Deportes Quindío	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWL
- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
22.09.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Cali	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe	1:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.09.26	Vasco da Gama - Independiente Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
11.09.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.09.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
05.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena	2:0
Colombian Primera A
14.09.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena	2:0
30.03.25	Unión Magdalena - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1
19.08.23	Unión Magdalena - Independiente Santa Fe	2:2
26.02.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena	0:0
25.09.22	Unión Magdalena - Independiente Santa Fe	0:2
03.04.22	Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena	1:0

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