Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Sports 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Ecuador	DAZN
Israel	Sport 3
Mexico	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1


	Independiente Santa Fe		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.90	3.80	Watch
	2.20	2.85	3.70
	2.28	2.80	3.65	Watch
	2.30	2.93	3.88
	2.29	2.94	3.62	Watch
	2.30	2.85	3.75
	2.22	2.86	3.74	Watch
	2.33	2.95	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.23)	2.89 ↓ (3.37)	3.75 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
41.8%

Draw
32.9%

Vasco da Gama
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.1%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

28%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Independiente Santa Fe - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Asprilla W. (G) 13. Palacios H. 18. Olivera E. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 32. Mafla C. 16. Torres D. 7. Torres J. 77. Obrian J. 9. Fagundez F. 25. Rodriguez E. 11. Rodallega H. (C)	1. Leo Jardim (G) 2. Rodriguez J. (C) 4. Saldivia A. 43. Lucas Freitas 6. Lucas Piton 88. Cauan Barros 18. Hinestroza M. 83. Ramon Rique 10. Rojas J. 17. Moreira N. 77. Spinelli C.
Substitutes
49. Amaya A. 24. Angulo J. 19. Bustos N. 31. Espitia J. (G) 17. Lovera M. 3. Moreno V. 21. Murillo E. 14. Palacios L. 39. Portocarrero C. 4. Puerta M. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 10. Zapata A.	80. Andre B. 74. Andrey Fernandes 19. Bruno Duarte 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 70. Euder 86. Lukas Zuccarello 29. Paulinho 96. Paulo Henrique 30. Robert Renan 5. Sosa S. 3. Tche Tche
Coaches
Repetto P.	Emanuel P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Spinelli C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Rodriguez E. ↓, Lovera M. ↑,
57', Saldivia A. 🟨,
68', Moreira N. 🟨,
70', Moreira N. ↓, David ↑,
71', Spinelli C. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
75', Torres D. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
75', Mafla C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
76', Angulo J. 🟨,
76', Repetto P. 🟨,
77', Rojas J. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
77', Lucas Piton ↓, Paulo Henrique ↑,
82', Ramon Rique ↓, Tche Tche ↑,
84', Hinestroza M. 🟨,
84', Olivera E. 🟨,
84', Torres J. 🟨,
88', Obrian J. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Santa Fe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vasco has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Santa Fe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Vasco: 20.19%

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Santa Fe - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.4%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Vasco da Gama - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.55%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
05.09.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
02.09.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.08.26	River Plate - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
22.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TWTWT
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
05.09.26	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
02.09.26	Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.08.26	Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWWL

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