Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Unión Santa Fe		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.1	5.25	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.6
	1.88	3.15	4.65	Watch
	1.88	3.14	5.41
	1.88	3.12	5.02
	1.85	2.9	4.8
	1.88	3.02	4.88	Watch
	1.9	3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.11)	3.07 ↓ (3.13)	4.83 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
49.7%

Draw
30.8%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions

Users Predictions: Unión Santa Fe will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Unión Santa Fe will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Mansilla M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 26. Luduena J. 12. Pitton B. 20. Palacios J. 30. Pitton M. (C) 24. Profini R. 11. Del Blanco M. 19. Estigarribia M. 25. Tarragona C.	23. Rigamonti C. (G) 32. Paredes L. 42. Carrera L. 4. Munoz E. 24. Saavedra F. 19. Ceballos J. 5. Barboza N. 8. Linares N. 26. Lencioni F. 15. Sanchez U. 35. Simoni V.
Substitutes
31. Aguirre M. 4. Alvarez E. 9. Colazo A. 22. Cuello B. 29. Diaz D. 7. Fragapane F. 43. Giaccone E. 28. Gomes Gerth F. (G) 10. Gonzalez T. 46. Grella S. 8. Palavecino N. 32. Paz N.	18. Alvarez J. 21. Antonini F. 7. Cingolani L. 9. Ferreyra B. 22. Franco J. 29. Modica A. 2. Mondino D. 28. O'Connor T. 20. Ortiz T. 31. Petruchi L. (G) 3. Recalde M. 17. Sabatini I.
Coaches
Madelon L.	Broggi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Profini R. ⚽, Luduena J. (A),
27', Saavedra F. 🟥,
34', Lencioni F. ↓, Modica A. ↑,
34', Linares N. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
37', Simoni V. 🟨,
39', Vargas L. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Paredes L. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Simoni V. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
66', Vargas L. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
66', Palacios J. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
70', Ceballos J. ↓, Cingolani L. ↑,
72', Pitton B. ↓, Grella S. ↑,
72', Tarragona C. ↓, Colazo A. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Estigarribia M. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Estigarribia M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
81', Sanchez U. ↓, Antonini F. ↑,
84', 4 - 0, Diaz D. ⚽, Alvarez E. (A),

Preview

In this match, Unión is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Unión: Fascendini V. (Red Card) Menossi L. (Inactive) Roldan E. (Knee Injury) Solari A. (Injury)

There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Andrada B. (Muscle Injury) Romano N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Unión: Vargas L. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Unión won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Unión Santa Fe - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.01.26	Lanús - Unión Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Unión Santa Fe - Platense	0:0 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
17.01.26	Defensor Sporting - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Unión Santa Fe - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.11.25	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTTWL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.01.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Central Córdoba - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.10.25	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2 penalties ✺
05.10.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Chacarita Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Argentina
17.04.24	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2

Upcoming Matches