Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe)

Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Unión Santa Fe		Newells Old Boys

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	5.75
	1.72	3.4	5.3
	1.72	3.55	6.07
	1.7	3.51	5.61
	1.67	3.3	5
	1.7	3.4	5.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.58)	3.43 ↓ (3.5)	5.52 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
55.5%

Draw
27.5%

Newells Old Boys
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

26.3%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

25.3%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Newells Old Boys (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Newells Old Boys (4.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - draw (2.48) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.17) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DNB - Newells Old Boys (4.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Unión Santa Fe will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Newells Old Boys (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Mansilla M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 26. Luduena J. 11. Del Blanco M. 20. Palacios J. 30. Pitton M. (C) 24. Profini R. 22. Cuello B. 25. Tarragona C. 19. Estigarribia M.	30. Reinatti J. (G) 14. Mendez A. 15. Salcedo S. 23. Goitea N. 28. Russo J. 5. Regiardo L. (C) 18. Mazzantti W. 26. Herrera R. 20. Guch F. 27. Herrera L. 36. Scarpeccio F.
Substitutes
4. Alvarez E. 9. Colazo A. 29. Diaz D. 13. Fascendini V. 7. Fragapane F. 43. Giaccone E. 5. Menossi L. 40. Meuli L. (G) 8. Palavecino N. 32. Paz N. 12. Pitton B. 23. Solari A.	37. Banos L. 1. Barlasina W. (G) 29. Esponda M. 19. Gomez J. 9. Hoyos M. 3. Luciano M. 38. Noguera F. 33. Nunez W. 6. Ortega M. 99. Ramirez I. 39. Rios T. 8. Sotelo D.
Coaches
Madelon L.	Kudelka F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Estigarribia M. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Mansilla M. (Own goal),
32', Regiardo L. 🟨,
38', 1 - 2, Russo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Herrera L. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
46', Cuello B. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
62', Profini R. ↓, Menossi L. ↑,
65', Guch F. ↓, Noguera F. ↑,
65', Mendez A. ↓, Ortega M. ↑,
67', Russo J. 🟨,
69', Vargas L. 🟨,
76', Scarpeccio F. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Ramirez I. ⚽,
78', Ortega M. 🟨,
81', Pitton M. ↓, Fragapane F. ↑,
87', 2 - 3, Menossi L. ⚽,
90', Mazzantti W. ↓, Esponda M. ↑,
90', Rodriguez M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
90+4', Estigarribia M. 🟨,
90+5', Palacios J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Unión is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Unión: Diaz D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Acuna V. (Inactive) Arias G. (Broken calfbone) Cabrera B. (Injury) Goitea N. (Inactive) Montero A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Unión: Paz N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Newells Old Boys: Coccaro M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Unión Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Unión Santa Fe - Deportivo Riestra	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
30.03.26	Unión Santa Fe - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.03.26	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Unión Santa Fe - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLT
- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.26	Newells Old Boys - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Central Córdoba - Newells Old Boys	1:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
29.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Acassuso	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Lanús - Newells Old Boys	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.10.25	Newells Old Boys - Unión Santa Fe	0:1
18.04.25	Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys	1:1
01.11.24	Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.02.24	Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys	1:3
16.09.23	Newells Old Boys - Unión Santa Fe	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.06.23	Newells Old Boys - Unión Santa Fe	1:1
30.09.22	Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys	0:1

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