The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión de Sunchales 27.6%
Draw 31.5%
Gimnasia y Tiro 40.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26%
33.9%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.9%
32.4%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión de Sunchales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión de Sunchales than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
33.3%
44.4%
Unión de Sunchales - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Unión de Sunchales will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia y Tiro: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Unión de Sunchales has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Gimnasia y Tiro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Unión de Sunchales could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Gimnasia y Tiro will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión de Sunchales won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Unión de Sunchales won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.