Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	UniPomezia		Castelfidardo

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.35	3.55
	1.87	3.46	3.7	Watch
	1.82	3.36	3.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.88)	3.39 ↑ (3.35)	3.73 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UniPomezia
48.9%

Draw
26.8%

Castelfidardo
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

26.8%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UniPomezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UniPomezia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

UniPomezia - Castelfidardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 2 - 0, ⚽,
80', 3 - 0, ⚽,
85', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

UniPomezia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Castelfidardo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

UniPomezia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, UniPomezia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD UniPomezia
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.03.26	Ostia Mare - UniPomezia	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	UniPomezia - Atletico Ascoli	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Recanatese - UniPomezia	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	UniPomezia - Ancona	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	San Marino Calcio - UniPomezia	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWWTW
- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.03.26	Castelfidardo - Chieti	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Castelfidardo - Recanatese	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Ostia Mare - Castelfidardo	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Castelfidardo - San Marino Calcio	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Atletico Ascoli - Castelfidardo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
16.11.25	Castelfidardo - UniPomezia	2:3

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