Match Info

Date: 27 June 2020, Saturday


	Union Berlin		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.65	3.4	2.04
	3.83	3.49	2.09
	3.75	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.95	3.62	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↓ (3.89)	3.44 ↓ (3.65)	2.07 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
25.7%

Draw
27.9%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

26.3%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

16.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Union Berlin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortuna Düsseldorf, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.6%	20.2%	68.2%

Union Berlin - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 129 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 15 - 11.6%). Fortuna will win (votes: 88 - 68.2%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 20.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 60.2% – 76.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
20.06.20	Hoffenheim - Union Berlin	4:0 ✺
16.06.20	Union Berlin - Paderborn	1:0 ✺
13.06.20	Köln - Union Berlin	1:2 ✺
07.06.20	Union Berlin - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
31.05.20	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWTL
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German Bundesliga
20.06.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
17.06.20	RB Leipzig - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2 ✺
13.06.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
06.06.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
30.05.20	Bayern Munich - Fortuna Düsseldorf	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
22.12.19	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Union Berlin	2:1
German 2 Bundesliga
10.02.18	Union Berlin - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:1
10.09.17	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Union Berlin	3:2
09.04.17	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Union Berlin	2:2
29.10.16	Union Berlin - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:1
12.12.15	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Union Berlin	0:3
26.07.15	Union Berlin - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1

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