Match Info

Date: 22 December 2020, Tuesday


	Union Berlin		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.5	4.2	6
	1.5	4.3	6.2	Watch
	1.46	4.4	6
	1.5	4.44	6.29
	1.5	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.5	4.4	6.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.49)	4.35 ↑ (4.34)	6.22 ↑ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
63.3%

Draw
21.6%

Paderborn
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

21.6%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

18.4%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Union Berlin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76%	12%	12%

Union Berlin - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Paderborn will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Union Berlin is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paderborn is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Union Berlin is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
18.12.20	Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	2:1 ✺
15.12.20	Stuttgart - Union Berlin	2:2 ✺
12.12.20	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	1:1 ✺
04.12.20	Hertha Berlin - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
28.11.20	Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WTTLT
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
19.12.20	Osnabrück - Paderborn	0:1 ✺
16.12.20	Paderborn - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:2 ✺
11.12.20	Bochum - Paderborn	3:0 ✺
06.12.20	Paderborn - Nürnberg	0:2 ✺
28.11.20	Karlsruher - Paderborn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
16.06.20	Union Berlin - Paderborn	1:0
14.12.19	Paderborn - Union Berlin	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
30.03.19	Union Berlin - Paderborn	1:3
21.10.18	Paderborn - Union Berlin	0:0
08.04.16	Paderborn - Union Berlin	0:4
24.10.15	Union Berlin - Paderborn	0:2
21.03.14	Union Berlin - Paderborn	1:1

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