Match Info

USL League One

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday

Location: Werner Park (Papillion, NE)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Union Omaha		South Georgia Tormenta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.35
	1.67	3.86	4.34
	1.78	3.84	3.98	Watch
	1.62	3.78	4.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.75)	3.82 ↑ (3.67)	4.32 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Omaha
54.8%

Draw
24%

South Georgia Tormenta
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

24.9%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

24%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

South Georgia Tormenta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (+1%)

Union Omaha - South Georgia Tormenta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Nuhu R. (C) 4. Owusu S. 13. Holt A. 5. Milanese M. 15. Knapp B. 30. Martinez I. 23. Schneider M. 20. Ostrem C. 10. Kasim P. 28. Becher R. 33. Botello Faz P.	13. Jones S. (G) 6. Stretch C. 23. Rasheed M. 4. Nare T. 3. Gabriel Alves 28. Walker A. 8. Gabriel Cabral (C) 7. Reid-Stephen N. 16. Tunbridge M. 19. Bazini Y. 10. Gray T.
Substitutes
18. Bronnik M. 36. Jensen C. (G) 27. Jiba R. 14. Kallman B. 8. Ors S. 29. Stefano Pinho 16. Wootton L.	71. Bwana H. 22. Doyle C. 14. Drey A. 58. Jimenez O. 26. Kasanzu J. 11. Nyandjo J. 9. Vivas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Bazini Y. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Becher R. ⚽, Kasim P. (A),
19', 1 - 2, Bazini Y. ⚽,
38', Walker A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kasim P. ↓, Ors S. ↑,
59', Gray T. ↓, Nyandjo J. ↑,
59', Tunbridge M. ↓, Bwana H. ↑,
61', Martinez I. ↓, Wootton L. ↑,
62', Botello Faz P. ↓, Stefano Pinho ↑,
75', Bazini Y. ↓, Jimenez O. ↑,
75', Reid-Stephen N. ↓, Vivas S. ↑,
78', Knapp B. ↓, Bronnik M. ↑,
82', Walker A. ↓, Drey A. ↑,
83', Schneider M. 🟨,
90', Milanese M. ↓, Kallman B. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 5.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Recently, Union Omaha has had a series of away games.

In this match, Union Omaha is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:12. (average 2.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Union Omaha won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 2.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Omaha
USL League One
12.07.25	Charlotte Independence - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	AV Alta - Union Omaha	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
28.06.25	San Antonio - Union Omaha	1:0 ✺
USL League One
25.06.25	Union Omaha - Richmond Kickers	3:4 ✺
15.06.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Union Omaha	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLL
- South Georgia Tormenta
USL League One
12.07.25	South Georgia Tormenta - One Knoxville	1:2 ✺
06.07.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - South Georgia Tormenta	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
28.06.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Charleston Battery	3:4 penalties ✺
USL League One
25.06.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Naples	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	One Knoxville - South Georgia Tormenta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
29.03.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Union Omaha	1:3
19.10.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Union Omaha	2:3
04.05.24	Union Omaha - South Georgia Tormenta	4:2
07.10.23	South Georgia Tormenta - Union Omaha	0:4
29.07.23	Union Omaha - South Georgia Tormenta	3:2
24.06.23	Union Omaha - South Georgia Tormenta	2:0
08.10.22	Union Omaha - South Georgia Tormenta	1:1

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